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Bundesliga

Referee: M Hameter

Salzburg

T U S U T

0–1

Full-time

SK Rapid

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 43%

45%

41%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

64%

41%

Both score Ø 62%

64%

59%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,98 xG 1,67

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 3. · SK Rapid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	22	12	2	8	+7	+6.1	38
2	LASK	23	11	5	7	+2	+6.4	38
3	Salzburg	22	10	7	5	+16	+8.6	37
4	Austria Vienna	22	11	3	8	+4	+2.7	36
5	Hartberg	23	8	10	5	+5	-5.2	34
6	SK Rapid	22	9	6	7	+1	-2.7	33
7	Altach	23	8	8	7	+1	-4.1	32
8	Tirol	23	8	7	8	+0	+4.7	31
9	Ried	23	9	4	10	-3	-2.0	31
10	Wolfsberger AC	23	7	5	11	-3	-10.4	26
11	Grazer AK	23	5	8	10	-12	-1.6	23
12	BW Linz	23	4	3	16	-18	-2.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	12	6	5	1	+6	-0.2	23
2	LASK	12	7	2	3	+3	+4.3	23
3	Salzburg	11	5	3	3	+8	+4.9	18
4	Tirol	11	5	3	3	+4	+3.2	18
5	Ried	12	5	3	4	+0	-0.4	18
6	SK Rapid	11	5	2	4	+2	-1.6	17
7	Grazer AK	12	4	5	3	+1	+2.3	17
8	Austria Vienna	11	5	2	4	-1	+2.1	17
9	Hartberg	11	4	4	3	+2	+0.7	16
10	Sturm Graz	11	5	1	5	-2	+2.3	16
11	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	3	4	+2	-3.3	15
12	BW Linz	11	3	1	7	-4	-0.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	11	7	1	3	+9	+3.8	22
2	Salzburg	11	5	4	2	+8	+3.8	19
3	Austria Vienna	11	6	1	4	+5	+0.7	19
4	Hartberg	12	4	6	2	+3	-6.0	18
5	SK Rapid	11	4	4	3	-1	-1.1	16
6	LASK	11	4	3	4	-1	+2.0	15
7	Ried	11	4	1	6	-3	-1.6	13
8	Tirol	12	3	4	5	-4	+1.6	13
9	Wolfsberger AC	12	3	2	7	-5	-7.1	11
10	Altach	11	2	3	6	-5	-3.9	9
11	Grazer AK	11	1	3	7	-13	-3.9	6
12	BW Linz	12	1	2	9	-14	-1.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.