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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

Aarhus

U S U T U

0–0

Full-time

Midtjylland

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

54%

64%

Both score Ø 70%

75%

64%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,9

2,4

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 1,76

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 2. · Midtjylland 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	28	16	9	3	+37	+7.7	57
2	Aarhus	28	16	9	3	+23	+21.3	57
3	Nordsjaelland	29	14	3	12	+2	-1.7	45
4	Viborg	29	13	4	12	+3	-2.6	43
5	FC Copenhagen	28	12	5	11	+11	+20.4	41
6	Brondby	29	12	5	12	+10	+10.2	41
7	Sonderjyske	29	11	8	10	-2	-5.1	41
8	Odense	29	11	7	11	-7	+3.6	40
9	Silkeborg	29	9	6	14	-20	-19.5	33
10	Randers FC	29	8	7	14	-10	+6.2	31
11	Fredericia	29	8	6	15	-24	-24.5	30
12	Vejle	28	3	9	16	-23	-15.9	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	8	5	1	+20	+7.1	29
2	Nordsjaelland	15	9	2	4	+12	+9.6	29
3	Aarhus	13	8	3	2	+12	+17.4	27
4	Sonderjyske	15	8	3	4	+8	+1.8	27
5	Odense	14	7	3	4	+0	+6.9	24
6	Viborg	15	7	2	6	+3	-4.6	23
7	Brondby	14	6	3	5	+9	+6.2	21
8	FC Copenhagen	14	5	4	5	+6	+16.9	19
9	Silkeborg	15	5	4	6	-4	-3.7	19
10	Randers FC	14	4	3	7	-7	+1.2	15
11	Vejle	15	3	4	8	-6	-4.7	13
12	Fredericia	14	3	3	8	-16	-7.5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	15	8	6	1	+11	+3.8	30
2	Midtjylland	14	8	4	2	+17	+0.6	28
3	FC Copenhagen	14	7	1	6	+5	+3.5	22
4	Brondby	15	6	2	7	+1	+4.0	20
5	Viborg	14	6	2	6	+0	+2.0	20
6	Fredericia	15	5	3	7	-8	-17.1	18
7	Randers FC	15	4	4	7	-3	+5.1	16
8	Odense	15	4	4	7	-7	-3.3	16
9	Nordsjaelland	14	5	1	8	-10	-11.3	16
10	Sonderjyske	14	3	5	6	-10	-6.9	14
11	Silkeborg	14	4	2	8	-16	-15.8	14
12	Vejle	13	0	5	8	-17	-11.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.