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Bundesliga

Referee: S Ebner

Salzburg

U S S U S

0–0

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 71%

75%

67%

Points per game

2,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

2,4

1,8

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	9	2	1	+21	29
2	Sturm Graz	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	LASK	12	6	4	2	+7	22
4	Austria Vienna	12	5	3	4	+0	18
5	A. Klagenfurt	12	5	2	5	-2	17
6	SK Rapid	11	4	2	5	+2	14
7	Wolfsberger AC	12	4	2	6	-1	14
8	Tirol	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	A. Lustenau	12	3	3	6	-8	12
10	Ried	12	3	2	7	-9	11
11	Altach	12	3	2	7	-11	11
12	Hartberg	11	3	1	7	-7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Salzburg	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	LASK	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Austria Vienna	6	2	2	2	-1	8
5	Tirol	6	2	2	2	-5	8
6	A. Klagenfurt	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	Ried	6	2	1	3	-3	7
8	Altach	7	2	1	4	-4	7
9	A. Lustenau	5	2	1	2	-4	7
10	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	SK Rapid	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	LASK	6	3	3	0	+7	12
3	Sturm Graz	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	SK Rapid	6	3	1	2	+5	10
5	Wolfsberger AC	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	A. Klagenfurt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Austria Vienna	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Tirol	6	2	0	4	-1	6
9	A. Lustenau	7	1	2	4	-4	5
10	Hartberg	6	1	1	4	-4	4
11	Ried	6	1	1	4	-6	4
12	Altach	5	1	1	3	-7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.