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Bundesliga

Referee: A Talic

Sturm Graz

S T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Tirol

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

60%

30%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 55%

40%

70%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 10

12 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 10

13 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Tirol 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	8	2	1	+19	26
2	Sturm Graz	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	LASK	11	5	4	2	+5	19
4	A. Klagenfurt	11	5	2	4	+0	17
5	Austria Vienna	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	SK Rapid	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Wolfsberger AC	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	A. Lustenau	11	3	3	5	-7	12
9	Tirol	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	Hartberg	10	3	1	6	-6	10
11	Altach	11	2	2	7	-12	8
12	Ried	10	1	2	7	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
3	LASK	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Austria Vienna	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	A. Klagenfurt	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	A. Lustenau	5	2	1	2	-4	7
7	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
8	Tirol	5	1	2	2	-6	5
9	SK Rapid	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Wolfsberger AC	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Ried	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Altach	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	4	0	1	+11	12
2	Sturm Graz	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	SK Rapid	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	A. Klagenfurt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	LASK	5	2	3	0	+5	9
7	Austria Vienna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Tirol	5	2	0	3	+0	6
9	A. Lustenau	6	1	2	3	-3	5
10	Hartberg	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Altach	5	1	1	3	-7	4
12	Ried	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.