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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Sturm Graz

S U T S T

2–1

Full-time

Ried

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

53%

27%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

53%

67%

Both score Ø 47%

40%

53%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

0,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

22 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 3. · Ried 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	11	1	3	+32	34
2	SK Rapid	15	10	3	2	+14	33
3	Sturm Graz	15	8	4	3	+14	28
4	LASK	15	8	3	4	+14	27
5	Tirol	15	7	3	5	+5	24
6	Wolfsberger AC	15	6	3	6	-3	21
7	Austria Vienna	15	4	6	5	-1	18
8	St. Polten	15	4	4	7	-3	16
9	Hartberg	15	3	6	6	-13	15
10	Ried	15	4	2	9	-15	14
11	Altach	15	3	2	10	-19	11
12	Admira	15	2	3	10	-25	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	8	6	0	2	+14	18
2	SK Rapid	8	5	2	1	+9	17
3	Sturm Graz	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Salzburg	7	5	0	2	+16	15
5	Tirol	7	3	2	2	+4	11
6	Ried	8	3	1	4	-4	10
7	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	-5	8
8	Altach	8	2	2	4	-7	8
9	Austria Vienna	7	1	4	2	-5	7
10	St. Polten	8	1	3	4	-6	6
11	Wolfsberger AC	8	1	3	4	-7	6
12	Admira	7	2	0	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	6	1	1	+16	19
2	SK Rapid	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Wolfsberger AC	7	5	0	2	+4	15
4	Tirol	8	4	1	3	+1	13
5	Sturm Graz	8	3	3	2	+4	12
6	Austria Vienna	8	3	2	3	+4	11
7	St. Polten	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	LASK	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Hartberg	8	1	4	3	-8	7
10	Ried	7	1	1	5	-11	4
11	Altach	7	1	0	6	-12	3
12	Admira	8	0	3	5	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.