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Bundesliga

Referee: C Jäeger

Sturm Graz

S S U S U

3–2

Full-time

Wolfsberger AC

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

64%

36%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

45%

91%

Both score Ø 73%

45%

100%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Wolfsberger AC 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	11	8	2	1	+19	26
2	Sturm Graz	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	LASK	12	6	4	2	+7	22
4	Austria Vienna	11	5	3	3	+2	18
5	A. Klagenfurt	12	5	2	5	-2	17
6	SK Rapid	11	4	2	5	+2	14
7	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	2	5	+0	14
8	Tirol	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	A. Lustenau	12	3	3	6	-8	12
10	Ried	12	3	2	7	-9	11
11	Hartberg	10	3	1	6	-6	10
12	Altach	11	2	2	7	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	6	4	2	0	+8	14
2	Sturm Graz	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	LASK	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Austria Vienna	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Tirol	6	2	2	2	-5	8
6	A. Klagenfurt	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	Ried	6	2	1	3	-3	7
8	A. Lustenau	5	2	1	2	-4	7
9	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	SK Rapid	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	1	4	-5	4
12	Altach	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	4	0	1	+11	12
2	LASK	6	3	3	0	+7	12
3	Sturm Graz	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	SK Rapid	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	A. Klagenfurt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Austria Vienna	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Tirol	6	2	0	4	-1	6
9	A. Lustenau	7	1	2	4	-4	5
10	Hartberg	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Ried	6	1	1	4	-6	4
12	Altach	5	1	1	3	-7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.