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Bundesliga

Referee: G Winkmann

Hoffenheim

T T T S U

0–3

Full-time

Freiburg

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

67% Possession 33%

22 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 10. · Freiburg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+8	8
4	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	M'gladbach	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Freiburg	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Werder Bremen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Union Berlin	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	FC Koln	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-9	3
17	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Hertha	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Union Berlin	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.