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Bundesliga
Referee: M Gräfe
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 12. · Wolfsburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Bayern Munich 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Leverkusen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 +4 6
7 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Hoffenheim 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Union Berlin 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Werder Bremen 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 FC Koln 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Paderborn 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Augsburg 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Hertha 3 0 1 2 -6 1
18 Mainz 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U ✓
3,62
B
2,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Gräfe · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.