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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Hartmann

Freiburg

S U U T T

0–4

Full-time

Dortmund

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 47%

24%

69%

Points per game

1,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

52%

72%

Both score Ø 68%

66%

69%

Average goals

3,1

3,6

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 13. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	30	22	4	4	+50	70
2	Dortmund	29	20	6	3	+32	66
3	RB Leipzig	30	18	7	5	+34	61
4	Ein Frankfurt	29	15	7	7	+23	52
5	M'gladbach	30	15	6	9	+12	51
6	Hoffenheim	30	13	11	6	+24	50
7	Leverkusen	30	15	3	12	+5	48
8	Werder Bremen	30	12	10	8	+10	46
9	Wolfsburg	29	13	6	10	+3	45
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	11	4	15	-19	37
11	Mainz	30	10	6	14	-14	36
12	Hertha	29	9	8	12	-7	35
13	Freiburg	29	7	11	11	-11	32
14	Augsburg	30	8	7	15	-9	31
15	Schalke 04	30	7	6	17	-20	27
16	Stuttgart	30	5	6	19	-40	21
17	Nurnberg	30	3	9	18	-32	18
18	Hannover	29	3	5	21	-41	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	15	13	2	0	+28	41
2	Bayern Munich	15	11	3	1	+29	36
3	RB Leipzig	15	9	5	1	+24	32
4	M'gladbach	15	9	2	4	+11	29
5	Ein Frankfurt	15	8	3	4	+13	27
6	Hoffenheim	15	7	5	3	+12	26
7	Werder Bremen	15	7	5	3	+8	26
8	Mainz	15	7	4	4	+7	25
9	Leverkusen	15	8	1	6	+2	25
10	Wolfsburg	14	6	4	4	+4	22
11	Freiburg	14	5	6	3	+5	21
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	7	0	8	-5	21
13	Hertha	14	5	5	4	+1	20
14	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	+5	19
15	Stuttgart	15	4	4	7	-9	16
16	Nurnberg	15	3	6	6	-2	15
17	Schalke 04	15	4	1	10	-12	13
18	Hannover	15	3	1	11	-15	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+21	34
2	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	+10	29
3	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	4	3	+10	25
4	Dortmund	14	7	4	3	+4	25
5	Hoffenheim	15	6	6	3	+12	24
6	Leverkusen	15	7	2	6	+3	23
7	Wolfsburg	15	7	2	6	-1	23
8	M'gladbach	15	6	4	5	+1	22
9	Werder Bremen	15	5	5	5	+2	20
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	4	4	7	-14	16
11	Hertha	15	4	3	8	-8	15
12	Schalke 04	15	3	5	7	-8	14
13	Augsburg	15	3	3	9	-14	12
14	Freiburg	15	2	5	8	-16	11
15	Mainz	15	3	2	10	-21	11
16	Stuttgart	15	1	2	12	-31	5
17	Hannover	14	0	4	10	-26	4
18	Nurnberg	15	0	3	12	-30	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.