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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

Motherwell

U T U U T

3–1

Full-time

Livingston

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Livingston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,2

Scored

0,8

0,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 14%

16%

11%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

47%

26%

Both score Ø 45%

58%

32%

Average goals

2,7

1,9

Scored

1,1

0,5

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 11. · Livingston 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	21	16	3	2	+35	51
2	Rangers	19	14	1	4	+28	43
3	Hearts	19	10	2	7	+5	32
4	Kilmarnock	20	8	6	6	+3	30
5	St Mirren	20	7	5	8	-4	26
6	Hibernian	19	6	6	7	-3	24
7	Dundee	17	5	6	6	-6	21
8	Aberdeen	16	5	4	7	-7	19
9	ST Johnstone	20	4	7	9	-14	19
10	Ross County	17	4	5	8	-9	17
11	Motherwell	19	3	7	9	-11	16
12	Livingston	19	2	6	11	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	11	8	2	1	+18	26
2	Rangers	9	7	0	2	+13	21
3	Kilmarnock	10	6	2	2	+6	20
4	St Mirren	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	ST Johnstone	10	4	3	3	-2	15
6	Hearts	9	4	2	3	+1	14
7	Hibernian	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Dundee	9	3	3	3	-3	12
9	Aberdeen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Ross County	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Motherwell	10	2	3	5	-5	9
12	Livingston	9	1	4	4	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	10	8	1	1	+17	25
2	Rangers	10	7	1	2	+15	22
3	Hearts	10	6	0	4	+4	18
4	Hibernian	10	3	3	4	-5	12
5	Kilmarnock	10	2	4	4	-3	10
6	Dundee	8	2	3	3	-3	9
7	Aberdeen	8	2	2	4	-8	8
8	St Mirren	10	2	2	6	-9	8
9	Motherwell	9	1	4	4	-6	7
10	Ross County	8	1	3	4	-8	6
11	Livingston	10	1	2	7	-11	5
12	ST Johnstone	10	0	4	6	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.