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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Livingston
S T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Rangers
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
3,2
1,6
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 9. · Rangers 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 6 5 1 0 +9 +0.8 16
2 Celtic 6 4 2 0 +7 +2.5 14
3 St Mirren 6 2 3 1 +1 -1.5 9
4 Motherwell 6 1 5 0 +2 +1.8 8
5 Dundee United 6 2 2 2 +1 -1.0 8
6 Hibernian 6 1 5 0 +1 +1.1 8
7 Kilmarnock 6 1 4 1 +1 -0.1 7
8 Dundee 7 1 3 3 -3 -2.0 6
9 Livingston 6 1 2 3 -3 +0.6 5
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 -5 -0.7 5
11 Rangers 5 0 4 1 -2 -0.9 4
12 Aberdeen 6 0 1 5 -9 -0.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Rangers
23′
J. Tavernier 0–1
O. Antman
Macaulay Tait 🟨
25′
Stevie May 🟨
27′
27′
ℹ️ James Tavernier
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
ℹ️ Derek Cornelius
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–1
Daniel Finlayson 🟨
46′
S. Blaney 🔁
↦ D. Finlayson
65′
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ A. Winter
65′
1–1 M. Sylla
A. Montgomery
68′
73′
🔁 M. Aarons
↦ D. Cornelius
73′
🔁 J. Rothwell
↦ T. Aasgaard
73′
🔁 Chermiti
↦ O. Antman
J. Bokila 🔁
↦ S. May
75′
82′
🔁 N. Bajrami
↦ C. Barron
82′
🔁 M. Moore
↦ J. Meghoma
83′
🟨 Nedim Bajrami
G. Carey 🔁
↦ L. Smith
89′
T. Yengi 🔁
↦ M. Susoho
89′
Adam Montgomery 🟨
90′
90′
M. Aarons 1–2
N. Raskin
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
28 J. Prior G
19 D. Finlayson D
24 M. Sylla D
27 D. Wilson D
3 A. Montgomery D
7 M. Susoho M
25 M. Tait M
15 L. Smith M
8 S. Pittman M
16 A. Winter M
17 S. May F
Bench (9)
14 J. Hamilton
4 S. Blaney
9 R. Muirhead
10 G. Carey
11 C. McLennan
18 J. Bokila
20 J. Robinson
22 A. Shinnie
39 T. Yengi

Coach: David Paul Martindale

Rangers

4-3-3
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
5 J. Souttar D
13 D. Cornelius D
30 J. Meghoma D
43 N. Raskin M
8 C. Barron M
11 T. Aasgaard M
18 O. Antman F
28 B. Miovski F
23 D. Gassama F
Bench (9)
31 L. Kelly
3 M. Aarons
6 J. Rothwell
9 Chermiti
10 M. Diomande
14 N. Bajrami
24 N. Djiga
47 M. Moore
52 F. Curtis

Coach: Russell Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,58
U
3,94
B ✓
1,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.