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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Motherwell
S U T U T
2–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
75%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
65%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Aberdeen 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 19 16 2 1 +45 50
2 Rangers 20 12 4 4 +21 40
3 Dundee United 20 9 7 4 +9 34
4 Aberdeen 20 10 4 6 +4 34
5 St Mirren 21 8 3 10 -7 27
6 Motherwell 20 8 3 9 -9 27
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -4 26
8 Dundee 21 7 4 10 -4 25
9 Kilmarnock 21 6 6 9 -11 24
10 Ross County 21 5 7 9 -17 22
11 Hearts 21 5 5 11 -7 20
12 ST Johnstone 22 4 3 15 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -24 Aberdeen – Motherwell 2–1 27. Apr -24 Aberdeen – Motherwell 1–0 16. Mar -24 Motherwell – Aberdeen 0–1 14. Feb -24 Aberdeen – Motherwell 3–3 1. Nov -23 Motherwell – Aberdeen 2–4

Match report

Motherwell Aberdeen
Davor Zdravkovski 🟨
8′
Tawanda Maswanhise 🟨
15′
1–0 E. Wilson ⚽
34′
43′
🟥 Slobodan Rubežić
2–0 T. Maswanhise ⚽
L. Gordon
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Polvara
↦ K. Nisbet
46′
🔁 L. Clarkson
↦ A. MacDonald
J. Vale 🔁
↦ M. Ebiye
68′
70′
🟨 Ante Palaversa
72′
🔁 J. McGarry
↦ J. MacKenzie
72′
🔁 S. Morris
↦ T. Keskinen
S. Nicholson 🔁
↦ T. Maswanhise
78′
T. Sparrow 🔁
↦ D. Zdravkovski
78′
80′
🔁 P. Ambrose
↦ A. Palaversa
85′
🟨 Graeme Shinnie
C. Slattery 🔁
↦ T. Watt
86′
P. McGinn 🔁
↦ K. Balmer
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-2-1
13 A. Oxborough G
5 K. Balmer D
4 L. Gordon D
15 D. Casey D
21 M. Kaleta M
6 D. Zdravkovski M
11 A. Halliday M
23 E. Wilson M
55 T. Maswanhise F
52 T. Watt F
24 M. Ebiye F
Bench (9)
77 J. Vale
19 S. Nicholson
7 T. Sparrow
8 C. Slattery
16 P. McGinn
20 S. Blaney
2 S. O'Donnell
1 K. Hegyi
22 J. Koutroumbis

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Aberdeen

4-3-3
31 R. Doohan G
2 N. Devlin D
33 S. Rubežić D
27 A. MacDonald D
3 J. MacKenzie D
18 A. Palaversa M
6 S. Heltne Nilsen M
4 G. Shinnie M
81 T. Keskinen F
9 K. Nisbet F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
8 D. Polvara
10 L. Clarkson
15 J. McGarry
20 S. Morris
32 P. Ambrose
30 F. Boyd
44 V. Enem
25 T. Ritchie
7 J. McGrath

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
🔒
U
3,27
🔒
B
2,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,93
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,84
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.