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Premiership
Referee: D Steven
Celtic
S T S S U
3–1
Full-time
Hibernian
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,7
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 60%
77%
43%
Points per game
2,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
74%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
34%
60%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
2,9
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

76% Possession 24%
18 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
7 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Hibernian 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 35 27 4 4 +80 85
2 Rangers 35 20 8 7 +33 68
3 Hibernian 35 15 11 9 +14 56
4 Aberdeen 35 15 8 12 -4 53
5 Dundee United 35 14 8 13 -6 50
6 St Mirren 35 13 6 16 -8 45
7 Motherwell 35 13 6 16 -17 45
8 Hearts 35 12 7 16 +0 43
9 Kilmarnock 35 11 8 16 -16 41
10 Dundee 35 10 7 18 -21 37
11 Ross County 36 9 8 19 -28 35
12 ST Johnstone 36 9 5 22 -27 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Feb -25 Hibernian – Celtic 2–1 7. Dec -24 Celtic – Hibernian 3–0 11. Aug -24 Hibernian – Celtic 0–2 7. Feb -24 Hibernian – Celtic 1–2 6. Dec -23 Celtic – Hibernian 4–1

Match report

Celtic Hibernian
25′
⚽ M. Boyle 0–1
1–1 N. Kühn ⚽
A. Ralston
41′
2–1 A. Idah ⚽
N. Kühn
45′
Half-time 2–1
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn 🟨
51′
51′
🟨 Jack Iredale
3–1 R. Hatate ⚽
A. Engels
58′
65′
🔁 J. Hoilett
↦ M. Boyle
65′
🔁 N. Cadden
↦ M. Kuharevich
65′
🔁 K. Bowie
↦ J. Iredale
Liam Scales 🟨
72′
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
72′
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ C. McGregor
73′
73′
🔁 D. Gayle
↦ J. Campbell
74′
🟨 Warren O'Hora
76′
🟨 Christopher Cadden
L. McCowan 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
80′
J. Kenny 🔁
↦ A. Idah
80′
80′
🔁 A. Manneh
↦ D. Levitt
S. McArdle 🔁
↦ A. Engels
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
56 A. Ralston D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
9 A. Idah F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
28 Paulo Bernardo
14 L. McCowan
24 J. Kenny
62 S. McArdle
15 J. Schlupp
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
12 V. Sinisalo
17 M. Nawrocki

Coach: B. Rodgers

Hibernian

5-3-2
13 J. Smith G
12 C. Cadden D
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
21 J. Obita D
6 D. Levitt M
26 N. Triantis M
32 J. Campbell M
10 M. Boyle F
99 M. Kuharevich F
Bench (9)
23 J. Hoilett
19 N. Cadden
20 K. Bowie
34 D. Gayle
8 A. Manneh
4 M. Ekpiteta
1 J. Bursik
2 L. Miller
22 N. Moriah-Welsh

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,27
🔒
U
5,78
🔒
B
9,41
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,46
🔒
U2,5
2,60
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.