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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
ST Johnstone
T S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Celtic
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,3
Scored
0,7
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 52%
23%
81%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
65%
77%
Both score Ø 45%
58%
32%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

20% Possession 80%
9 Shots 26
4 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 6
9 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 12. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 25 3 3 +72 78
2 Rangers 32 20 5 7 +33 65
3 Hibernian 32 13 11 8 +9 50
4 Aberdeen 32 14 7 11 -4 49
5 Dundee United 31 12 8 11 -1 44
6 Hearts 31 11 6 14 +0 39
7 St Mirren 32 11 5 16 -10 38
8 Motherwell 32 11 5 16 -19 38
9 Kilmarnock 32 9 8 15 -16 35
10 Ross County 32 9 8 15 -22 35
11 Dundee 32 9 7 16 -17 34
12 ST Johnstone 31 7 5 19 -25 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Celtic
1–0 D. Balodis
G. Carey
4′
Drey Wright 🟨
41′
Jason Holt 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Taylor
↦ J. Schlupp
46′
🔁 Yang Hyun-Jun
↦ N. Kühn
Sam Curtis 🟨
59′
61′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ D. Maeda
65′
🟨 Greg Taylor
66′
🔁 L. McCowan
↦ A. Engels
S. Sprangler 🔁
↦ G. Carey
67′
B. Kimpioka 🔁
↦ M. Kirk
67′
T. Steven 🔁
↦ D. Wright
67′
N. Clark 🔁
↦ A. Sidibeh
67′
Zach Mitchell 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ Jota
86′
🟨 Yang Hyun-Jun
Full-time 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
16,67
U
7,51
B
1,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,42
U2,5 ✓
2,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.