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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

St. Gallen

U S U S U

1–4

Full-time

Winterthur

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 31%

35%

26%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

62%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,93 xG 2,17

64% Possession 36%

20 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 7

8 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 7. · Winterthur 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	34	19	7	8	+44	+22.4	64
2	Servette	34	15	10	9	+5	-1.0	55
3	Young Boys	34	15	8	11	+6	+8.6	53
4	Lugano	34	15	7	12	+3	+7.9	52
5	Luzern	34	14	9	11	+8	+9.3	51
6	Lausanne	34	14	8	12	+9	+10.3	50
7	St. Gallen	34	12	12	10	+3	-4.5	48
8	Zurich	34	13	8	13	-5	-2.9	47
9	Sion	34	10	9	15	-9	-0.2	39
10	Yverdon	34	8	10	16	-24	-15.6	34
11	Grasshoppers	34	7	12	15	-13	-10.9	33
12	Winterthur	34	9	6	19	-27	-23.3	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	18	12	2	4	+24	+18.6	38
2	Young Boys	17	11	4	2	+19	+8.6	37
3	Lausanne	18	11	2	5	+14	+10.8	35
4	Luzern	17	9	4	4	+11	+12.0	31
5	Lugano	17	9	4	4	+6	+11.1	31
6	St. Gallen	16	8	6	2	+11	+6.5	30
7	Servette	16	8	5	3	+6	+5.0	29
8	Sion	17	7	7	3	+9	+11.4	28
9	Zurich	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.2	23
10	Winterthur	17	7	2	8	-6	-6.7	23
11	Yverdon	17	6	4	7	-4	-2.1	22
12	Grasshoppers	17	3	8	6	-3	+4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	16	7	5	4	+20	+3.8	26
2	Servette	18	7	5	6	-1	-6.0	26
3	Zurich	17	7	3	7	-1	-0.7	24
4	Lugano	17	6	3	8	-3	-3.2	21
5	Luzern	17	5	5	7	-3	-2.7	20
6	St. Gallen	18	4	6	8	-8	-11.0	18
7	Grasshoppers	17	4	4	9	-10	-15.5	16
8	Young Boys	17	4	4	9	-13	-0.0	16
9	Lausanne	16	3	6	7	-5	-0.5	15
10	Yverdon	17	2	6	9	-20	-13.4	12
11	Sion	17	3	2	12	-18	-11.6	11
12	Winterthur	17	2	4	11	-21	-16.6	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.