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Ligue 2

Referee: P Gaillouste

Pau FC

T U U S T

1–3

Full-time

Guingamp

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 39%

30%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

64%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 6

9 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 12. · Guingamp 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	33	21	5	7	+33	68
2	Paris FC	33	20	6	7	+20	66
3	Metz	33	17	11	5	+29	62
4	Dunkerque	33	17	4	12	+7	55
5	Guingamp	33	16	4	13	+10	52
6	Laval	33	14	8	11	+7	50
7	Annecy	33	13	9	11	-3	48
8	Grenoble	33	13	7	13	+1	46
9	Bastia	33	10	15	8	+5	45
10	Amiens	33	13	4	16	-11	43
11	Ajaccio	33	12	6	15	-10	42
12	Pau FC	33	10	12	11	-12	42
13	Troyes	33	12	5	16	+1	41
14	Rodez	33	9	11	13	+2	38
15	Red Star	33	9	10	14	-14	37
16	Clermont	33	7	11	15	-16	32
17	Martigues	33	9	5	19	-23	32
18	Caen	33	5	7	21	-26	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	16	14	1	1	+33	43
2	Paris FC	16	12	2	2	+16	38
3	Dunkerque	17	12	1	4	+14	37
4	Metz	17	10	6	1	+22	36
5	Amiens	17	11	2	4	+6	35
6	Bastia	16	8	7	1	+14	31
7	Guingamp	17	9	3	5	+14	30
8	Ajaccio	17	9	3	5	+5	30
9	Grenoble	17	8	5	4	+8	29
10	Pau FC	16	8	5	3	+3	29
11	Annecy	16	8	4	4	+6	28
12	Laval	16	8	3	5	+7	27
13	Troyes	16	6	4	6	+4	22
14	Rodez	16	6	4	6	+2	22
15	Red Star	16	6	4	6	-3	22
16	Clermont	17	3	8	6	-2	17
17	Caen	17	3	5	9	-9	14
18	Martigues	17	3	3	11	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	17	8	4	5	+4	28
2	Metz	16	7	5	4	+7	26
3	Lorient	17	7	4	6	+0	25
4	Laval	17	6	5	6	+0	23
5	Guingamp	16	7	1	8	-4	22
6	Annecy	17	5	5	7	-9	20
7	Martigues	16	6	2	8	-9	20
8	Troyes	17	6	1	10	-3	19
9	Dunkerque	16	5	3	8	-7	18
10	Grenoble	16	5	2	9	-7	17
11	Rodez	17	3	7	7	+0	16
12	Red Star	17	3	6	8	-11	15
13	Clermont	16	4	3	9	-14	15
14	Bastia	17	2	8	7	-9	14
15	Pau FC	17	2	7	8	-15	13
16	Ajaccio	16	3	3	10	-15	12
17	Caen	16	2	2	12	-17	8
18	Amiens	16	2	2	12	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.