Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Union Berlin
Heidenheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | +61 | +53.4 | 76 |
| 2 |
Leverkusen
|
32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | +31 | +22.1 | 68 |
| 3 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | +20 | +14.4 | 56 |
| 4 |
Freiburg
|
32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | -3 | +1.9 | 52 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +15 | +19.2 | 51 |
| 6 |
RB Leipzig
|
32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | +6 | -6.9 | 50 |
| 7 |
Mainz
|
32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | +9 | -1.1 | 48 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | -6 | +1.8 | 47 |
| 9 |
M'gladbach
|
32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | +1 | -9.9 | 45 |
| 10 |
Stuttgart
|
32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | +6 | +11.5 | 44 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -11 | -12.3 | 43 |
| 12 |
Wolfsburg
|
33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | +1 | -5.3 | 40 |
| 13 |
Union Berlin
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -12 | -9.7 | 38 |
| 14 |
Hoffenheim
|
33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | -18 | -13.6 | 32 |
| 15 |
St Pauli
|
32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -11 | -10.2 | 31 |
| 16 |
Heidenheim
|
32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | -27 | -15.8 | 26 |
| 17 |
Holstein Kiel
|
32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -27 | -18.6 | 25 |
| 18 |
Bochum
|
32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | -35 | -20.9 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Rønnow
G
D. Doekhi
D
L. Querfeld
D
C. Trimmel
M
J. Haberer
M
R. Khedira
M
T. Rothe
M
L. Bénes
F
B. Hollerbach
F
Coach: S. Baumgart
F. Feller
G
P. Mainka
D
B. Gimber
D
T. Siersleben
D
O. Traoré
M
J. Schöppner
M
F. Krätzig
M
P. Wanner
F
A. Beck
F
M. Pieringer
F
Coach: F. Schmidt
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
Bochum
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Stuttgart
Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg
F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.