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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Union Berlin
S U U U U
0–3
Full-time
Heidenheim
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Heidenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
22%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,45 xG 1,12
50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Union Berlin 13. · Heidenheim 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 23 7 2 +61 +53.4 76
2 Leverkusen 32 19 11 2 +31 +22.1 68
3 Ein Frankfurt 32 16 8 8 +20 +14.4 56
4 Freiburg 32 15 7 10 -3 +1.9 52
5 Dortmund 32 15 6 11 +15 +19.2 51
6 RB Leipzig 32 13 11 8 +6 -6.9 50
7 Mainz 32 13 9 10 +9 -1.1 48
8 Werder Bremen 32 13 8 11 -6 +1.8 47
9 M'gladbach 32 13 6 13 +1 -9.9 45
10 Stuttgart 32 12 8 12 +6 +11.5 44
11 Augsburg 32 11 10 11 -11 -12.3 43
12 Wolfsburg 33 10 10 13 +1 -5.3 40
13 Union Berlin 32 9 11 12 -12 -9.7 38
14 Hoffenheim 33 7 11 15 -18 -13.6 32
15 St Pauli 32 8 7 17 -11 -10.2 31
16 Heidenheim 32 7 5 20 -27 -15.8 26
17 Holstein Kiel 32 6 7 19 -27 -18.6 25
18 Bochum 32 4 8 20 -35 -20.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Union Berlin Heidenheim
12′
A. Beck 0–1
M. Pieringer
Leopold Querfeld 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–1
M. Ljubičić 🔁
↦ A. Ilić
46′
56′
J. Schöppner 0–2
Janik Haberer ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
59′
Janik Haberer 🟨
60′
T. Skarke 🔁
↦ K. Vogt
63′
D. Preu 🔁
↦ C. Trimmel
63′
J. Juranović 🔁
↦ T. Rothe
63′
A. Schäfer 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
71′
73′
A. Beck 0–3
P. Wanner
80′
🔁 M. Busch
↦ N. Dorsch
80′
🔁 M. Honsak
↦ A. Beck
83′
🔁 L. Kerber
↦ O. Traoré
83′
🔁 B. Zivzivadze
↦ M. Pieringer
89′
🔁 J. Niehues
↦ J. Schöppner
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Union Berlin

3-4-1-2
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
14 L. Querfeld D
2 K. Vogt D
28 C. Trimmel M
19 J. Haberer M
8 R. Khedira M
15 T. Rothe M
20 L. Bénes F
16 B. Hollerbach F
23 A. Ilić F
Bench (9)
27 M. Ljubičić
21 T. Skarke
45 D. Preu
18 J. Juranović
13 A. Schäfer
37 A. Schwolow
41 O. Ogbemudia
29 L. Tousart
10 K. Volland

Coach: S. Baumgart

Heidenheim

3-4-2-1
40 F. Feller G
6 P. Mainka D
5 B. Gimber D
4 T. Siersleben D
23 O. Traoré M
39 N. Dorsch M
3 J. Schöppner M
13 F. Krätzig M
10 P. Wanner F
21 A. Beck F
18 M. Pieringer F
Bench (9)
2 M. Busch
17 M. Honsak
20 L. Kerber
12 B. Zivzivadze
16 J. Niehues
27 T. Keller
8 Léo Scienza
22 V. Eicher
19 J. Föhrenbach

Coach: F. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U
3,47
B ✓
3,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.