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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Celtic
T S U T S
4–1
Full-time
Hibernian
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 57%
80%
33%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
73%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 6
12 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Hibernian 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 12 3 0 +29 39
2 Rangers 14 10 1 3 +22 31
3 Hearts 14 7 2 5 +2 23
4 St Mirren 15 6 4 5 -2 22
5 Hibernian 15 5 6 4 +1 21
6 Dundee 14 4 6 4 -2 18
7 Kilmarnock 15 4 5 6 -1 17
8 Ross County 15 4 5 6 -6 17
9 Motherwell 16 3 5 8 -9 14
10 Aberdeen 13 3 4 6 -8 13
11 ST Johnstone 14 2 5 7 -13 11
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Oct -23 Hibernian – Celtic 0–0 24. May -23 Hibernian – Celtic 4–2 18. Mar -23 Celtic – Hibernian 3–1 28. Dec -22 Hibernian – Celtic 0–4 15. Oct -22 Celtic – Hibernian 6–1

Match report

Celtic Hibernian
1–0 Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽
C. Carter-Vickers
5′
Luis Palma 🟨
21′
2–0 M. O'Riley ⚽
L. Palma
36′
Callum McGregor 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
N. Phillips 🔁
↦ C. Carter-Vickers
46′
Alistair Johnston ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
49′
3–0 L. Palma ⚽
51′
4–0 Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽
C. McGregor
55′
A. Ralston 🔁
↦ G. Taylor
57′
58′
🔁 J. Jeggo
↦ D. Levitt
58′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ M. Boyle
K. Furuhashi 🔁
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
63′
M. Tilio 🔁
↦ M. Johnston
63′
67′
🔁 R. Molotnikov
↦ J. Campbell
67′
🔁 P. Hanlon
↦ R. Bushiri
72′
⚽ C. Doidge 4–1
É. Youan
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ C. McGregor
82′
82′
🔁 R. Whittaker
↦ Jair Tavares
84′
🟨 William Fish
86′
🟨 Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
24 T. Iwata M
42 C. McGregor M
90 M. Johnston F
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
6 N. Phillips
56 A. Ralston
8 K. Furuhashi
23 M. Tilio
28 Paulo Bernardo
49 J. Forrest
29 S. Bain
15 O. Holm
14 D. Turnbull

Coach: B. Rodgers

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
16 L. Stevenson D
32 J. Campbell M
6 D. Levitt M
11 J. Newell M
29 Jair Tavares M
7 É. Youan F
10 M. Boyle F
Bench (9)
14 J. Jeggo
23 C. Doidge
35 R. Molotnikov
4 P. Hanlon
49 R. Whittaker
26 R. Harbottle
13 J. Wollacott
53 J. Landers
9 D. Vente

Coach: N. Montgomery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,20
🔒
U
6,77
🔒
B
11,99
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,46
🔒
U2,5
2,63
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.