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Super League

Referee: F Polychronis

Aris Thessalonikis

S S S U U

4–2

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Super League · 31/35 matches

Win Ø 44%

48%

40%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

32%

46%

Both score Ø 50%

48%

51%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

12 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · Asteras Tripolis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	33	23	6	4	+35	75
2	Panathinaikos	33	17	9	7	+9	60
3	AEK	33	17	6	10	+25	57
4	PAOK	33	17	5	11	+23	56
5	Aris	32	16	8	8	+10	56
6	Aris Thessalonikis	31	15	8	8	+8	53
7	Asteras Tripolis	35	14	6	15	-6	48
8	Levadeiakos	35	12	11	12	+7	47
9	Atromitos	35	12	8	15	+0	44
10	OFI Crete	35	12	8	15	-6	44
11	Panetolikos	34	11	9	14	-3	42
12	Volos NFC	34	10	7	17	-18	37
13	Panserraikos	35	10	6	19	-21	36
14	Athens Kallithea	35	6	11	18	-24	29
15	Lamia	35	4	8	23	-39	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	13	4	0	+20	43
2	Panathinaikos	16	11	4	1	+14	37
3	Aris	16	11	3	2	+14	36
4	AEK	17	10	3	4	+22	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	15	10	3	2	+12	33
6	PAOK	16	8	2	6	+12	26
7	Asteras Tripolis	18	8	1	9	-4	25
8	Panserraikos	18	6	6	6	-1	24
9	Levadeiakos	17	6	5	6	+5	23
10	Panetolikos	17	7	2	8	+1	23
11	OFI Crete	18	6	5	7	-2	23
12	Atromitos	17	3	6	8	-5	15
13	Athens Kallithea	17	3	6	8	-11	15
14	Volos NFC	17	3	5	9	-9	14
15	Lamia	18	3	3	12	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	10	2	4	+15	32
2	PAOK	17	9	3	5	+11	30
3	Atromitos	18	9	2	7	+5	29
4	AEK	16	7	3	6	+3	24
5	Levadeiakos	18	6	6	6	+2	24
6	Asteras Tripolis	17	6	5	6	-2	23
7	Panathinaikos	17	6	5	6	-5	23
8	Volos NFC	17	7	2	8	-9	23
9	OFI Crete	17	6	3	8	-4	21
10	Aris Thessalonikis	16	5	5	6	-4	20
11	Aris	16	5	5	6	-4	20
12	Panetolikos	17	4	7	6	-4	19
13	Athens Kallithea	18	3	5	10	-13	14
14	Panserraikos	17	4	0	13	-20	12
15	Lamia	17	1	5	11	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.