Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Waalwijk
Heerenveen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | +36 | +31.0 | 74 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | +58 | +43.1 | 70 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +39 | +25.3 | 65 |
| 4 |
Utrecht
|
31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | +19 | +4.1 | 62 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | +13 | +12.7 | 48 |
| 6 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +3 | +7.9 | 47 |
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +8 | +12.1 | 44 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -6 | -1.0 | 40 |
| 9 |
Groningen
|
31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -8 | -6.5 | 38 |
| 10 |
Heracles
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -17 | -15.2 | 38 |
| 11 |
For Sittard
|
31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -18 | -8.7 | 36 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | -5 | -0.2 | 35 |
| 13 |
Nijmegen
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | +0 | +2.5 | 34 |
| 14 |
Zwolle
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -11 | -20.7 | 34 |
| 15 |
NAC Breda
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -20 | -16.9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Willem II
|
32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -21 | -30.4 | 25 |
| 17 |
Almere City
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -38 | -16.3 | 20 |
| 18 |
Waalwijk
|
31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | -32 | -22.6 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Lelieveld
D
R. van Eijma
D
M. Ihattaren
M
Y. Oukili
M
O. Zawada
F
R. Margaret
F
Coach: H. Fraser
A. Noppert
G
O. Braude
D
S. Kersten
D
H. Petrov
D
M. Köhlert
D
E. van Ee
M
M. Linday
M
J. Trenskow
M
L. Smans
M
I. Sebaoui
M
Coach: R. Veldman
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Groningen
Waalwijk
Waalwijk
Utrecht
Nijmegen
Waalwijk
Waalwijk
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
Waalwijk
E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.