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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Trabzonspor
T S S S U
0–2
Full-time
Galatasaray
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 60%
38%
81%
Points per game
1,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
56%
75%
Both score Ø 61%
56%
66%
Average goals
2,9
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,6
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,16 xG 1,35
42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 8. · Galatasaray 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 32 26 5 1 +51 +36.1 83
2 Fenerbahce 33 24 6 3 +51 +41.5 78
3 Samsunspor 33 17 6 10 +12 +6.6 57
4 Besiktas 32 15 10 7 +17 +20.7 55
5 Buyuksehyr 33 15 6 12 +6 +2.7 51
6 Eyüpspor 34 14 8 12 +5 +0.0 50
7 Goztep 32 12 10 10 +13 +19.6 46
8 Trabzonspor 32 12 10 10 +13 -1.0 46
9 Kasimpasa 33 11 13 9 +1 +2.1 46
10 Konyaspor 34 13 7 14 -3 -1.4 46
11 Antalyaspor 32 12 7 13 -20 -15.6 43
12 Gaziantep 33 12 6 15 -5 -13.5 42
13 Kayserispor 32 10 11 11 -10 -2.1 41
14 Rizespor 33 12 4 17 -13 +5.6 40
15 Alanyaspor 33 10 8 15 -10 -2.2 38
16 Sivasspor 33 9 7 17 -13 -19.4 34
17 Bodrumspor 32 9 7 16 -13 -6.3 34
18 Hatayspor 32 4 7 21 -31 -31.9 19
19 Ad. Demirspor 32 2 4 26 -51 -41.4 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Galatasaray
D. Sikan 🔁
↦ E. Destan
20′
44′
🟨 Fernando Muslera
Half-time 0–0
Edin Višća ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
46′
Muhammed Cham-Saračević 🟨
58′
O. Zubkov 🔁
↦ M. Eskihellaç
58′
66′
A. Bardakcı 0–1
Gabriel Sara
A. Nwakaeme 🔁
↦ O. Yokuşlu
75′
S. Banza 🔁
↦ E. Višća
76′
77′
🔁 Álvaro Morata
↦ Gabriel Sara
82′
🔁 E. Elmalı
↦ B. Yılmaz
84′
Álvaro Morata 0–2
Y. Akgün
90′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ I. Jakobs
90′
🔁 K. Ayhan
↦ M. Lemina
90′
🔁 P. Frankowski
↦ Y. Akgün
95′
🟨 Álvaro Morata
Full-time 0–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,94
U
4,27
B ✓
1,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,38
U2,5 ✓
2,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.