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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Hibernian
U S S S U
3–0
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 30%
37%
23%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
63%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 1
6 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 3. · ST Johnstone 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 30 24 3 3 +69 75
2 Rangers 30 19 5 6 +34 62
3 Hibernian 30 11 11 8 +4 44
4 Aberdeen 30 12 7 11 -8 43
5 Dundee United 30 11 8 11 -2 41
6 Hearts 30 11 6 13 +3 39
7 Motherwell 30 11 5 14 -14 38
8 St Mirren 30 10 5 15 -12 35
9 Ross County 30 9 8 13 -20 35
10 Kilmarnock 30 8 8 14 -14 32
11 Dundee 30 8 7 15 -18 31
12 ST Johnstone 30 7 5 18 -22 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
13 J. Smith G
2 L. Miller D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
26 N. Triantis M
6 D. Levitt M
21 J. Obita M
23 J. Hoilett F
10 M. Boyle F
99 M. Kuharevich F
Bench (9)
20 K. Bowie
34 D. Gayle
8 A. Manneh
32 J. Campbell
35 R. Molotnikov
4 M. Ekpiteta
5 W. O'Hora
1 J. Bursik
22 N. Moriah-Welsh

Coach: D. Gray

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 A. Fisher G
4 D. Balodis D
5 Z. Mitchell D
30 B. Douglas D
37 S. Curtis M
23 S. Sprangler M
7 J. Holt M
14 D. Wright M
6 V. Griffith F
8 J. Svedberg F
27 M. Kirk F
Bench (9)
19 T. Steven
21 S. Duke-McKenna
29 B. Kimpioka
11 G. Carey
10 N. Clark
44 E. Watt
16 A. Sidibeh
22 M. Smith
20 R. Sinclair

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,75
B
5,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.