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Allsvenskan

Referee: Fredrik Klitte

GAIS

S U U U T

1–1

Full-time

Varnamo

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

1,6

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,9

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 13. · Varnamo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	7	5	2	0	+11	+0.2	17
2	AIK	7	5	2	0	+6	-0.1	17
3	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+11	+4.2	16
4	Elfsborg	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.7	13
5	Malmo FF	7	3	2	2	+1	+3.3	11
6	Degerfors	7	3	1	3	+1	+1.8	10
7	Brommapojkarna	7	3	1	3	+0	+0.4	10
8	Hacken	7	3	1	3	-1	+1.0	10
9	Goteborg	7	3	1	3	-3	+1.2	10
10	Halmstad	8	3	1	4	-7	-6.1	10
11	Norrkoping	7	3	0	4	+0	-0.6	9
12	Djurgarden	6	2	2	2	-1	+2.1	8
13	GAIS	7	1	4	2	-1	-1.0	7
14	Sirius	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.2	6
15	Oster	7	1	0	6	-7	-2.7	3
16	Varnamo	7	0	0	7	-9	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.9	10
2	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.2	10
3	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.8	9
4	AIK	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
5	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+2	+4.2	7
6	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
7	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.7	6
8	Djurgarden	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.0	5
9	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
10	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.2	4
11	Degerfors	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
12	Hacken	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.3	4
13	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
14	Oster	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
15	Sirius	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.3	1
16	Varnamo	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.6	10
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.7	7
3	Hammarby	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.3	7
4	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.0	7
5	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
6	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.3	6
7	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-3	-2.1	6
8	Sirius	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.9	5
9	Malmo FF	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
10	Halmstad	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.5	4
11	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.9	3
12	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
14	GAIS	4	0	3	1	-2	-1.2	3
15	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0
16	Oster	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.