Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolves
Brighton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | +46 | +44.7 | 82 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | +33 | +25.8 | 67 |
| 3 |
Man City
|
35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | +24 | +16.7 | 64 |
| 4 |
Newcastle
|
35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | +21 | +16.9 | 63 |
| 5 |
Chelsea
|
35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | +21 | +21.6 | 63 |
| 6 |
Nott'm Forest
|
35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | +12 | -4.6 | 61 |
| 7 |
Aston Villa
|
35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | +6 | +8.2 | 60 |
| 8 |
Bournemouth
|
35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | +13 | +14.7 | 53 |
| 9 |
Brentford
|
35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | +9 | +1.3 | 52 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | +1 | +3.4 | 52 |
| 11 |
Fulham
|
35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | +3 | +5.2 | 51 |
| 12 |
Crystal Palace
|
35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | -4 | +8.7 | 46 |
| 13 |
Wolves
|
35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | -11 | -12.8 | 41 |
| 14 |
Everton
|
35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | -7 | -6.0 | 39 |
| 15 |
Man United
|
35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -9 | -4.4 | 39 |
| 16 |
Tottenham
|
35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | +6 | -1.0 | 38 |
| 17 |
West Ham
|
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -19 | -11.2 | 37 |
| 18 |
Ipswich
|
35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | -41 | -39.8 | 22 |
| 19 |
Leicester
|
35 | 5 | 6 | 24 | -47 | -38.5 | 21 |
| 20 |
Southampton
|
35 | 2 | 5 | 28 | -57 | -48.9 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
José Sá
G
M. Doherty
D
E. Agbadou
D
Toti Gomes
D
Nélson Semedo
M
João Gomes
M
André
M
R. Aït-Nouri
M
M. Munetsi
F
Matheus Cunha
F
Gonçalo Guedes
F
Coach: Vítor Pereira
B. Verbruggen
G
M. Wieffer
D
J. van Hecke
D
P. Estupiñán
D
Y. Ayari
M
T. Lamptey
M
M. O'Riley
M
D. Welbeck
F
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Man City
Wolves
Wolves
Leicester
Man United
Wolves
Wolves
Tottenham
Ipswich
Wolves
M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.