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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Celtic
S S T S T
5–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 53%
78%
28%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
75%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
31%
47%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,9
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

88% Possession 12%
14 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 32 25 3 4 +71 78
2 Rangers 32 20 5 7 +33 65
3 Hibernian 32 13 11 8 +9 50
4 Aberdeen 32 14 7 11 -4 49
5 Dundee United 32 13 8 11 +0 47
6 Hearts 32 11 6 15 -1 39
7 St Mirren 32 11 5 16 -10 38
8 Motherwell 32 11 5 16 -19 38
9 Kilmarnock 32 9 8 15 -16 35
10 Ross County 32 9 8 15 -22 35
11 Dundee 32 9 7 16 -17 34
12 ST Johnstone 32 8 5 19 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Nov -24 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–2 4. Aug -24 Celtic – Kilmarnock 4–0 15. May -24 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–5 17. Feb -24 Celtic – Kilmarnock 1–1 10. Dec -23 Kilmarnock – Celtic 2–1

Match report

Celtic Kilmarnock
1–0 R. Hatate ⚽
G. Taylor
9′
2–0 D. Maeda ⚽
11′
3–0 C. Carter-Vickers ⚽
L. Scales
21′
4–0 R. Hatate ⚽
A. Johnston
24′
29′
⚽ D. Armstrong 4–1
L. Donnelly
Daizen Maeda ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ B. Wales
46′
🔁 R. Deas
↦ D. Armstrong
N. Kühn 🔁
↦ J. Forrest
60′
Jota 🔁
↦ A. Idah
60′
J. Schlupp 🔁
↦ G. Taylor
61′
A. Ralston 🔁
↦ A. Johnston
76′
78′
🔁 M. Kennedy
↦ F. Murray
L. McCowan 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
81′
88′
🔁 C. Ramsay
↦ D. Watson
5–1 A. Ralston ⚽
R. Hatate
93′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
12 V. Sinisalo G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
49 J. Forrest F
9 A. Idah F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
10 N. Kühn
7 Jota
15 J. Schlupp
56 A. Ralston
14 L. McCowan
29 S. Bain
17 M. Nawrocki
6 A. Trusty
28 Paulo Bernardo

Coach: B. Rodgers

Kilmarnock

4-5-1
1 K. O'Hara G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
12 D. Watson M
22 L. Donnelly M
15 F. Murray M
24 B. Wales F
Bench (9)
23 M. Watkins
6 R. Deas
10 M. Kennedy
21 C. Ramsay
31 L. Polworth
19 B. Anderson
20 R. McCrorie
18 I. Cameron
14 G. Mackay-Steven

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
🔒
U
7,01
🔒
B
12,56
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,32
🔒
U2,5
3,26
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.