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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Red Star
U T U U U
1–1
Full-time
Dunkerque
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 40%
27%
52%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
48%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Red Star 15. · Dunkerque 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 33 21 5 7 +33 68
2 Paris FC 33 20 6 7 +20 66
3 Metz 33 17 11 5 +29 62
4 Dunkerque 33 17 4 12 +7 55
5 Guingamp 33 16 4 13 +10 52
6 Laval 33 14 8 11 +7 50
7 Annecy 33 13 9 11 -3 48
8 Grenoble 33 13 7 13 +1 46
9 Bastia 33 10 15 8 +5 45
10 Amiens 33 13 4 16 -11 43
11 Ajaccio 33 12 6 15 -10 42
12 Pau FC 33 10 12 11 -12 42
13 Troyes 33 12 5 16 +1 41
14 Rodez 33 9 11 13 +2 38
15 Red Star 33 9 10 14 -14 37
16 Clermont 33 7 11 15 -16 32
17 Martigues 33 9 5 19 -23 32
18 Caen 33 5 7 21 -26 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -24 Dunkerque – Red Star 2–0

Match report

Red Star Dunkerque
3′
Muhannad Al Saad 0–1
Y. Bammou
1–1 D. Durand
D. Durivaux
13′
Half-time 1–1
Pierre Lemonnier 🟨
47′
Joachim Eickmayer 🟨
48′
60′
🔁 K. Tejan
↦ Muhannad Al Saad
67′
🟨 Allan Linguet
A. Badji 🔁
↦ A. Fall
67′
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ M. Ifnaoui
68′
K. Cissé 🔁
↦ L. Kouagba
68′
B. Mendy 🔁
↦ P. Lemonnier
71′
71′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ G. Yassine
78′
🟨 Allan Linguet
78′
🟥 Allan Linguet
S. Renel 🔁
↦ J. Eickmayer
79′
82′
🔁 A. Georgen
↦ M. Rivera
82′
🔁 G. Courtet
↦ Y. Bammou
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Red Star

3-4-1-2
1 Q. Beunardeau G
5 J. Escartin D
24 P. Lemonnier D
28 L. Kouagba D
20 D. Durivaux M
26 F. Dembi M
8 J. Eickmayer M
98 R. Hachem M
10 M. Ifnaoui F
9 A. Fall F
7 D. Durand F
Bench (7)
21 A. Badji
19 H. Mbock
11 K. Cissé
4 B. Mendy
97 S. Renel
2 B. Meyapya
40 R. Risser

Coach: G. Poirier

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
24 I. Koné G
27 A. Linguet D
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
21 G. Kondo D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
5 Diogo Queirós M
77 Muhannad Al Saad M
15 A. Sekongo M
8 M. Rivera M
80 G. Yassine M
19 Y. Bammou F
Bench (7)
9 K. Tejan
31 A. Ba
2 A. Georgen
18 G. Courtet
1 E. Jaouen
30 Abner
20 E. Bardeli

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,63
U ✓
3,36
B
2,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.