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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Celtic
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Hibernian
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 53%
93%
13%
Points per game
2,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
64%
53%
Both score Ø 41%
21%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
2,9
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

75% Possession 25%
21 Shots 14
11 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 1
9 Goalkeeper saves 8
14 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Hibernian 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 13 1 0 +37 40
2 Aberdeen 15 10 3 2 +12 33
3 Rangers 14 9 2 3 +15 29
4 Dundee United 14 6 5 3 +7 23
5 Dundee 15 5 4 6 +0 19
6 Motherwell 14 6 1 7 -6 19
7 St Mirren 15 5 3 7 -6 18
8 Ross County 15 3 6 6 -15 15
9 ST Johnstone 15 4 1 10 -11 13
10 Kilmarnock 15 3 4 8 -17 13
11 Hibernian 15 2 6 7 -7 12
12 Hearts 15 2 4 9 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Aug -24 Hibernian – Celtic 0–2 7. Feb -24 Hibernian – Celtic 1–2 6. Dec -23 Celtic – Hibernian 4–1 28. Oct -23 Hibernian – Celtic 0–0 24. May -23 Hibernian – Celtic 4–2

Match report

Celtic Hibernian
1–0 A. Engels ⚽
A. Johnston
6′
27′
🔁 J. Campbell
↦ M. Kuharevich
Arne Engels 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
46′
1–1 J. Newell ⚽
own goal
54′
K. Furuhashi 🔁
↦ A. Idah
67′
Yang Hyun-Jun 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
67′
R. Hatate 🔁
↦ A. Engels
73′
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ L. McCowan
73′
73′
🔁 M. Boyle
↦ N. Cadden
81′
🟨 Josh Campbell
82′
🔁 D. Gayle
↦ J. Newell
82′
🔁 J. Hoilett
↦ É. Youan
83′
🔁 C. Cadden
↦ L. Miller
84′
🟨 Warren O'Hora
2–1 K. Furuhashi ⚽
J. Forrest
84′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
14 L. McCowan M
42 C. McGregor M
27 A. Engels M
10 N. Kühn F
9 A. Idah F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
8 K. Furuhashi
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
41 R. Hatate
28 Paulo Bernardo
56 A. Ralston
20 C. Carter-Vickers
12 V. Sinisalo
11 Álex Valle

Coach: B. Rodgers

Hibernian

5-4-1
13 J. Smith G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
21 J. Obita D
7 É. Youan M
26 N. Triantis M
11 J. Newell M
19 N. Cadden M
99 M. Kuharevich F
Bench (9)
32 J. Campbell
10 M. Boyle
34 D. Gayle
23 J. Hoilett
12 C. Cadden
1 J. Bursik
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
8 J. Doyle-Hayes
6 D. Levitt

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
🔒
U
7,82
🔒
B
14,78
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,35
🔒
U2,5
3,09
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.