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Premiership

Referee: C Graham

ST Johnstone

T T S S T

1–2

Full-time

Hearts

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

This season — Premiership · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 18%

27%

Points per game

0,9

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

73%

55%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

2,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · Hearts 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	10	9	1	0	+26	28
2	Aberdeen	10	9	1	0	+11	28
3	Rangers	10	6	1	3	+7	19
4	Motherwell	10	5	1	4	+0	16
5	Dundee United	10	4	3	3	+2	15
6	Kilmarnock	10	3	3	4	-7	12
7	St Mirren	11	3	2	6	-6	11
8	Ross County	11	2	5	4	-8	11
9	ST Johnstone	11	3	1	7	-9	10
10	Dundee	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Hibernian	10	1	4	5	-6	7
12	Hearts	11	1	3	7	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aberdeen	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Rangers	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	St Mirren	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Ross County	7	2	3	2	+1	9
6	Dundee United	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Motherwell	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Hearts	5	1	2	2	+2	5
9	Hibernian	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Dundee	5	1	1	3	-1	4
12	ST Johnstone	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Aberdeen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Motherwell	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Dundee United	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	ST Johnstone	7	2	1	4	-4	7
6	Kilmarnock	6	2	1	3	-5	7
7	Dundee	5	1	2	2	-3	5
8	Rangers	5	1	1	3	-4	4
9	Hibernian	5	0	2	3	-5	2
10	Ross County	4	0	2	2	-9	2
11	Hearts	6	0	1	5	-8	1
12	St Mirren	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.