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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
ST Johnstone
S U U S T
2–3
Full-time
Hearts
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 40%
39%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
67%
65%
Both score Ø 63%
61%
65%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 8
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 5. · Hearts 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 17 0 1 +42 51
2 Rangers 18 13 3 2 +23 42
3 Aberdeen 18 8 1 9 +2 25
4 Hearts 17 7 4 6 +1 25
5 ST Johnstone 18 7 3 8 -4 24
6 St Mirren 16 7 3 6 -4 24
7 Hibernian 18 7 2 9 -2 23
8 Livingston 17 7 2 8 -10 23
9 Motherwell 17 5 3 9 -2 18
10 Kilmarnock 18 4 4 10 -17 16
11 Ross County 18 4 3 11 -15 15
12 Dundee United 17 3 4 10 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -22 Hearts – ST Johnstone 3–2 19. Feb -22 ST Johnstone – Hearts 2–1 18. Jan -22 Hearts – ST Johnstone 2–0 27. Oct -21 ST Johnstone – Hearts 1–1 1. Feb -20 ST Johnstone – Hearts 3–3

Match report

ST Johnstone Hearts
Graham Carey 🟨
9′
Ryan McGowan ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
12′
Ryan McGowan 🟨
13′
14′
⚽ L. Shankland 0–1
A. Mitchell 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
26′
33′
⚽ A. Forrest 0–2
A. Halliday
Ali Crawford ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
38′
Half-time 0–2
55′
🟨 Robert Snodgrass
1–2 S. May ⚽
55′
63′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ J. Grant
63′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ A. Forrest
64′
⚽ B. McKay 1–3
C. Devlin
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ A. Crawford
65′
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ N. Clark
65′
C. MacPherson 🔁
↦ G. Carey
70′
D. Wotherspoon 🔁
↦ R. McGowan
70′
77′
🔁 O. Kiomourtzoglou
↦ J. Ginnelly
2–3 J. Murphy ⚽
L. Gordon
79′
Alex Mitchell 🟨
84′
Liam Gordon 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 R. Matthews G
13 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
4 A. Considine D
14 D. Wright M
22 M. Hallberg M
21 A. Crawford M
19 A. Montgomery M
23 G. Carey F
37 N. Clark F
7 S. May F
Bench (9)
5 A. Mitchell
26 C. McLennan
29 J. Murphy
18 C. MacPherson
10 D. Wotherspoon
12 E. Parish
2 J. Brown
11 M. O'Halloran
34 D. Phillips

Coach: C. Davidson

Hearts

3-4-3
28 Z. Clark G
21 T. Sibbick D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
17 A. Forrest M
14 C. Devlin M
77 R. Snodgrass M
16 A. Halliday M
30 J. Ginnelly F
9 L. Shankland F
7 J. Grant F
Bench (8)
18 B. McKay
2 M. Smith
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou
51 B. McLuckie
12 N. Atkinson
13 R. Stewart
39 F. Pollock
20 L. Neilson

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
🔒
U
3,25
🔒
B ✓
2,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,04
🔒
U2,5
1,75
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.