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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Motherwell
U S T S S
1–2
Full-time
Dundee United
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 26%
32%
19%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
58%
55%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
22 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Dundee United 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 31 29 1 1 +75 88
2 Rangers 31 24 4 3 +46 76
3 Aberdeen 32 16 2 14 -2 50
4 Hearts 32 13 6 13 +2 45
5 St Mirren 31 12 8 11 -6 44
6 Hibernian 32 13 4 15 -3 43
7 Livingston 32 12 6 14 -17 42
8 Motherwell 31 10 6 15 -3 36
9 ST Johnstone 32 9 5 18 -20 32
10 Kilmarnock 31 7 7 17 -28 28
11 Ross County 32 7 6 19 -19 27
12 Dundee United 31 6 7 18 -25 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 0–1 3. Sep -22 Motherwell – Dundee United 0–0 30. Apr -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 1–0 9. Feb -22 Dundee United – Motherwell 2–0 30. Nov -21 Motherwell – Dundee United 1–0

Match report

Motherwell Dundee United
1–0 K. van Veen ⚽
22′
28′
🟨 Ilmari Niskanen
Half-time 1–0
Calum Butcher 🟨
46′
63′
⚽ I. Niskanen 1–1
I. Harkes
66′
🔁 R. MacLeod
↦ K. Freeman
Liam Kelly 🟨
69′
H. Paton 🔁
↦ D. Cornelius
71′
J. Aitchison 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
71′
71′
⚽ J. McGrath 1–2
Dan Casey 🟨
84′
S. McKinstry 🔁
↦ J. Furlong
85′
88′
🟨 Loick Ayina
97′
🟨 Steven Fletcher
98′
🟨 Mark Birighitti
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
66 C. Butcher D
52 D. Casey D
22 M. Johnston M
27 S. Goss M
18 D. Cornelius M
24 J. Furlong M
7 B. Spittal F
9 K. van Veen F
21 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
53 H. Paton
15 J. Aitchison
17 S. McKinstry
5 B. Mugabi
2 S. O'Donnell
20 S. Blaney
13 A. Oxborough
8 C. Slattery
4 R. Lamie

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Dundee United

4-1-4-1
1 M. Birighitti G
22 K. Freeman D
27 L. Ayina D
4 C. Mulgrew D
3 S. McMann D
14 C. Sibbald M
7 I. Niskanen M
23 I. Harkes M
18 J. McGrath M
16 A. Behich M
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
44 R. MacLeod
25 K. Fotheringham
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
20 S. Anaku
31 J. Newman
39 M. Thomson
6 R. Graham
12 R. Edwards
10 A. Djoum

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B ✓
3,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,06
🔒
U2,5
1,74
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.