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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Dundee United
U S U U T
1–0
Full-time
Motherwell
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
35%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 6. · Motherwell 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 34 27 4 3 +61 85
2 Rangers 34 24 7 3 +42 79
3 Hearts 34 17 9 8 +16 60
4 Hibernian 34 10 11 13 -5 41
5 Livingston 34 11 8 15 -7 41
6 Dundee United 34 10 11 13 -7 41
7 Ross County 34 10 10 14 -9 40
8 Motherwell 34 10 10 14 -14 40
9 Aberdeen 34 9 9 16 -5 36
10 St Mirren 34 8 12 14 -21 36
11 ST Johnstone 34 7 10 17 -23 31
12 Dundee 34 5 11 18 -28 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Motherwell
1–0 D. Levitt
M. McNulty
37′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Sean Goss
Charlie Mulgrew 🟨
56′
64′
🔁 J. Efford
↦ J. Ojala
I. Niskanen 🔁
↦ S. McMann
74′
76′
🟨 Bevis Mugabi
N. Clark 🔁
↦ M. McNulty
80′
80′
🔁 L. Donnelly
↦ K. Woolery
87′
🟨 Callum Slattery
Liam Smith 🟨
88′
A. Spörle 🔁
↦ T. Watt
89′
Adrián Spörle 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-5-2
1 B. Siegrist G
4 C. Mulgrew M
12 R. Edwards D
33 S. McMann M
2 L. Smith M
29 R. Graham D
20 L. Neilson D
19 D. Levitt M
17 A. Meekison M
9 M. McNulty F
32 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
7 I. Niskanen
10 N. Clark
3 A. Spörle
58 M. Anim Cudjoe
50 L. O'Donnell
53 R. MacLeod
26 C. Mochrie
13 C. Eriksson
22 K. Freeman

Coach: T. Courts

Motherwell

3-4-3
1 L. Kelly G
14 J. Ojala D
3 J. Carroll M
4 R. Lamie D
5 B. Mugabi D
8 M. O'Hara M
27 S. Goss M
16 C. Slattery M
26 R. Tierney F
7 K. Woolery F
29 C. Shields F
Bench (7)
20 J. Efford
22 L. Donnelly
18 D. Cornelius
32 V. Nirennold
41 M. Connolly
45 R. Mahon
23 L. Grimshaw

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,14
B
2,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.