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Super League
Referee: S Tsimenteridis
Panetolikos
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — Super League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 53%
45%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
27%
30%
Both score Ø 48%
36%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panetolikos 6. · Aris Thessalonikis 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 10 6 3 1 +8 21
2 Aris 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 PAOK 11 6 2 3 +7 20
4 AEK 10 5 3 2 +9 18
5 Olympiakos 11 5 3 3 +6 18
6 Panetolikos 11 5 3 3 +4 18
7 Asteras Tripolis 11 4 5 2 +5 17
8 Panathinaikos 11 4 5 2 +2 17
9 OFI Crete 11 5 2 4 -2 17
10 Atromitos 11 3 3 5 -1 12
11 Panserraikos 11 3 1 7 -7 10
12 Volos NFC 10 3 1 6 -8 10
13 Lamia 11 1 4 6 -10 7
14 Levadeiakos 11 0 6 5 -10 6
15 Athens Kallithea 11 0 6 5 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.