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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Erbst
Magdeburg
S U T T U
0–0
Full-time
Ulm
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Ulm
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
36%
18%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
91%
45%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
3,4
2,1
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
14 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Magdeburg 7. · Ulm 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hannover 11 7 1 3 +8 22
2 Paderborn 11 5 5 1 +5 20
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Hamburg 12 5 4 3 +9 19
5 Karlsruhe 11 5 4 2 +3 19
6 Nurnberg 12 5 3 4 +4 18
7 Magdeburg 11 4 5 2 +3 17
8 Kaiserslautern 12 4 5 3 +2 17
9 Hertha 11 5 2 4 +2 17
10 Elversberg 11 4 4 3 +6 16
11 FC Koln 11 4 3 4 +3 15
12 Darmstadt 11 3 4 4 +1 13
13 Greuther Furth 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Braunschweig 12 3 3 6 -10 12
15 Preußen Münster 11 2 4 5 -4 10
16 Ulm 11 2 3 6 -3 9
17 Schalke 04 11 2 3 6 -5 9
18 Regensburg 11 2 1 8 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Ulm
22′
🟨 Philipp Maier
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Niklas Kolbe
59′
🟨 Philipp Strompf
Jean Hugonet 🟨
60′
C. Krempicki 🔁
↦ A. El-Zein
63′
63′
🔁 D. Chessa
↦ M. Krattenmacher
63′
🔁 L. Hyryläinen
↦ P. Maier
X. Amaechi 🔁
↦ L. Burcu
64′
T. Ito 🔁
↦ P. Hercher
64′
76′
🔁 L. Röser
↦ F. Higl
76′
🔁 S. Telalović
↦ A. Keller
Bryan Teixeira 🔁
↦ M. El Hankouri
81′
87′
🟨 Philipp Strompf
87′
🟥 Philipp Strompf
A. Marušić 🔁
↦ A. Nollenberger
88′
Xavier Amaechi 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 B. Allgeier
↦ S. Telalović
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
15 D. Heber D
27 P. Hercher M
25 S. Gnaka M
14 A. El-Zein M
2 S. Loric M
11 M. El Hankouri F
17 A. Nollenberger F
29 L. Burcu F
Bench (9)
13 C. Krempicki
20 X. Amaechi
37 T. Ito
8 Bryan Teixeira
26 A. Marušić
30 N. Kruth
22 P. Nadjombe
31 R. Leipertz
5 T. Müller

Coach: C. Titz

Ulm

3-4-2-1
1 N. Thiede G
4 T. Gaal D
32 P. Strompf D
27 N. Kolbe D
19 J. Meier M
26 P. Maier M
23 M. Brandt M
43 R. Rösch M
30 M. Krattenmacher F
16 A. Keller F
33 F. Higl F
Bench (9)
11 D. Chessa
38 L. Hyryläinen
9 L. Röser
29 S. Telalović
7 B. Allgeier
13 J. Nelson
12 M. Seybold
20 L. Ulrich
10 A. Ludwig

Coach: T. Wörle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U ✓
3,74
B
3,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.