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Super League
Referee: P Tsiaras
Panserraikos
U T S T S
1–0
Full-time
AEK
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panserraikos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Super League · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 36%
22%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
67%
25%
Both score Ø 41%
56%
25%
Average goals
3,0
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,9
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 11
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panserraikos 12. · AEK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 9 5 2 2 +7 17
2 Aris Thessalonikis 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Aris 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 AEK 8 4 3 1 +9 15
5 Olympiakos 9 4 3 2 +6 15
6 Panetolikos 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 OFI Crete 9 4 2 3 +0 14
8 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 +1 12
9 Asteras Tripolis 9 2 5 2 +1 11
10 Volos NFC 9 3 1 5 -7 10
11 Atromitos 9 2 3 4 -3 9
12 Panserraikos 9 2 1 6 -7 7
13 Lamia 10 1 4 5 -9 7
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 6 3 -6 6
15 Athens Kallithea 9 0 5 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
7,44
U
4,91
B
1,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tsiaras · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.