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Premiership
Referee: I Snedden
Hibernian
T T U U U
1–2
Full-time
St Mirren
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
9%
25%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
36%
83%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%
12 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 12. · St Mirren 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 10 9 1 0 +26 28
2 Aberdeen 10 9 1 0 +11 28
3 Rangers 10 6 1 3 +7 19
4 Dundee United 11 4 4 3 +2 16
5 Motherwell 10 5 1 4 +0 16
6 Dundee 11 3 3 5 -3 12
7 St Mirren 12 3 3 6 -6 12
8 Kilmarnock 11 3 3 5 -8 12
9 Ross County 12 2 6 4 -8 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 3 1 8 -10 10
11 Hearts 12 2 3 7 -5 9
12 Hibernian 11 1 5 5 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian St Mirren
16′
C. McMenamin 0–1
S. Tanser
25′
🟨 Elvis Bwomono
31′
C. McMenamin 0–2
Half-time 0–2
D. Levitt 🔁
↦ N. Triantis
46′
N. Cadden 🔁
↦ Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
46′
R. Bushiri 🔁
↦ W. OHora
46′
Joe Newell 🟨
51′
Martin Boyle
penalty missed
63′
H. McKirdy 🔁
↦ M. Boyle
66′
D. Gayle 🔁
↦ J. Hoilett
66′
67′
🔁 M. Mandron
↦ T. Olusanya
67′
🔁 O. Smyth
↦ G. Kiltie
67′
🔁 J. Ayunga
↦ C. McMenamin
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga 🟨
72′
1–2 N. Cadden
94′
95′
🟨 Ellery Balcombe
Nicky Cadden ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-3-3
1 J. Bursik G
12 C. Cadden D
4 M. Ekpiteta D
5 W. O'Hora D
21 J. Obita D
18 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
26 N. Triantis M
11 J. Newell M
10 M. Boyle F
7 É. Youan F
23 J. Hoilett F
Bench (9)
6 D. Levitt
19 N. Cadden
33 R. Bushiri
17 H. McKirdy
34 D. Gayle
8 J. Doyle-Hayes
13 J. Smith
2 L. Miller
15 J. Iredale

Coach: D. Gray

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 E. Balcombe G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
42 E. Bwomono M
88 K. Phillips M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
20 T. Olusanya F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
9 M. Mandron
8 O. Smyth
7 J. Ayunga
12 R. Idowu
23 D. Adeniran
33 E. Mooney
27 P. Urminský
28 C. Penman
14 J. Scott

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,54
B ✓
4,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Snedden · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.