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Ligue 2

Referee: A Valnet

Metz

S T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Caen

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 5. · Caen 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	13	8	3	2	+11	27
2	Lorient	13	8	2	3	+11	26
3	Dunkerque	13	8	1	4	+4	25
4	Annecy	13	6	4	3	+3	22
5	Metz	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Amiens	13	6	2	5	+2	20
7	Guingamp	13	6	1	6	+2	19
8	Grenoble	13	5	2	6	+2	17
9	Laval	13	4	4	5	+2	16
10	Bastia	12	3	7	2	+0	16
11	Pau FC	13	4	4	5	-4	16
12	Rodez	13	4	3	6	+2	15
13	Clermont	13	4	3	6	-3	15
14	Caen	12	4	2	6	-2	14
15	Ajaccio	12	4	2	6	-3	14
16	Troyes	13	4	2	7	-6	14
17	Red Star	13	4	2	7	-11	14
18	Martigues	13	2	3	8	-18	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Dunkerque	7	6	0	1	+6	18
3	Amiens	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Annecy	6	5	0	1	+7	15
5	Grenoble	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Guingamp	7	4	1	2	+8	13
7	Ajaccio	6	4	1	1	+5	13
8	Paris FC	6	4	1	1	+4	13
9	Metz	6	3	3	0	+8	12
10	Pau FC	6	3	2	1	+3	11
11	Bastia	6	2	4	0	+2	10
12	Caen	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Laval	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Clermont	7	2	2	3	+1	8
15	Rodez	6	2	1	3	+0	7
16	Troyes	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Red Star	6	2	1	3	-6	7
18	Martigues	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	+7	14
2	Metz	6	3	0	3	+0	9
3	Rodez	7	2	2	3	+2	8
4	Laval	7	2	2	3	+1	8
5	Lorient	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Martigues	6	2	2	2	-6	8
7	Dunkerque	6	2	1	3	-2	7
8	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-3	7
9	Annecy	7	1	4	2	-4	7
10	Clermont	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Red Star	7	2	1	4	-5	7
12	Bastia	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Guingamp	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Pau FC	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Caen	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Grenoble	6	1	0	5	-5	3
17	Amiens	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.