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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Athens Kallithea

T U U U U

1–3

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Athens Kallithea Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Super League · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 24%

33%

14%

Both score Ø 61%

50%

71%

Average goals

1,5

1,9

Scored

0,7

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 1

5 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Athens Kallithea 12. · Asteras Tripolis 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	7	4	2	1	+9	14
2	Aris Thessalonikis	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Aris	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	OFI Crete	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	Olympiakos	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	PAOK	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	Panetolikos	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Atromitos	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Panathinaikos	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Asteras Tripolis	7	1	4	2	-1	7
11	Volos NFC	7	2	1	4	-7	7
12	Athens Kallithea	6	0	5	1	-1	5
13	Lamia	8	1	2	5	-9	5
14	Levadeiakos	6	0	4	2	-4	4
15	Panserraikos	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Panetolikos	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Aris	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	OFI Crete	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	PAOK	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Panathinaikos	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Atromitos	5	1	2	2	+0	5
10	Athens Kallithea	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Levadeiakos	3	0	2	1	-3	2
12	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Panserraikos	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Lamia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Volos NFC	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aris Thessalonikis	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Aris	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	OFI Crete	4	2	1	1	+0	7
4	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Olympiakos	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Volos NFC	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	AEK	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Panetolikos	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Lamia	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Athens Kallithea	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Panserraikos	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Levadeiakos	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Panathinaikos	3	0	2	1	-2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.