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Süper Lig

Referee: C Aydın

Hatayspor

T U T T T

3–1

Full-time

Gaziantep

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Gaziantep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 15%

30%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

50%

70%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

0,7

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,38 xG 0,97

42% Possession 58%

16 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Gaziantep 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+20	+7.8	28
2	Samsunspor	11	8	1	2	+12	+6.9	25
3	Fenerbahce	10	7	2	1	+14	+11.6	23
4	Besiktas	10	6	2	2	+9	+7.6	20
5	Eyüpspor	11	5	4	2	+6	+0.4	19
6	Sivasspor	11	5	2	4	+1	-7.6	17
7	Goztep	10	4	3	3	+4	+0.9	15
8	Buyuksehyr	10	4	3	3	+3	+2.4	15
9	Kasimpasa	12	3	5	4	-3	+0.8	14
10	Konyaspor	11	4	2	5	-4	-1.8	14
11	Antalyaspor	12	4	2	6	-9	-8.3	14
12	Trabzonspor	10	2	6	2	+0	-1.7	12
13	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-1	-2.1	12
14	Kayserispor	11	2	6	3	-5	-3.5	12
15	Bodrumspor	12	3	2	7	-6	-1.4	11
16	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	+0.8	10
17	Rizespor	10	3	1	6	-11	-2.4	10
18	Hatayspor	10	0	3	7	-10	-6.7	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	10	0	2	8	-15	-3.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	1	0	+10	+8.7	16
2	Goztep	5	4	1	0	+7	+0.9	13
3	Eyüpspor	5	4	1	0	+7	+1.8	13
4	Besiktas	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
5	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	+2	+3.8	10
6	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	+1	-3.7	10
7	Antalyaspor	6	3	1	2	-2	-3.0	10
8	Fenerbahce	4	3	0	1	+4	+6.2	9
9	Buyuksehyr	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.3	8
10	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.6	8
11	Trabzonspor	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.6	8
12	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
13	Bodrumspor	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.9	7
14	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
15	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.3	4
16	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-4	-1.1	3
17	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
18	Hatayspor	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.7	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	0	5	-11	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Samsunspor	5	5	0	0	+10	+3.1	15
2	Fenerbahce	6	4	2	0	+10	+5.4	14
3	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	-0.9	12
4	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+4	+0.6	11
5	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	-1	-2.3	9
6	Besiktas	5	2	2	1	+4	+1.3	8
7	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.9	7
8	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-2	+0.1	7
9	Eyüpspor	6	1	3	2	-1	-1.4	6
10	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-5	-2.6	6
11	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-5	-1.1	6
12	Trabzonspor	5	0	4	1	-1	-1.1	4
13	Gaziantep	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
14	Alanyaspor	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.4	4
15	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.3	4
16	Bodrumspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-2.4	4
17	Goztep	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.0	2
18	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.8	2
19	Hatayspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.