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Super League

Referee: N Gianforte

Winterthur

S T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Lausanne

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

15%

46%

Points per game

0,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

62%

Both score Ø 42%

38%

46%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Lausanne 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	13	7	4	2	+7	-1.0	25
2	Lugano	13	7	4	2	+7	+1.8	25
3	Servette	13	7	3	3	+2	+0.9	24
4	Basel	13	7	1	5	+17	+9.0	22
5	Luzern	13	6	4	3	+6	+2.6	22
6	Lausanne	13	6	2	5	+3	+9.1	20
7	St. Gallen	13	4	5	4	+5	-3.1	17
8	Yverdon	13	4	3	6	-7	-9.8	15
9	Sion	13	3	5	5	-2	+6.6	14
10	Young Boys	13	3	4	6	-6	-1.9	13
11	Grasshoppers	13	2	3	8	-10	-0.9	9
12	Winterthur	13	2	2	9	-22	-13.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	7	5	1	1	+7	+3.7	16
2	Lausanne	7	5	0	2	+7	+8.1	15
3	Luzern	7	4	1	2	+5	+6.0	13
4	Servette	6	4	1	1	+1	+0.5	13
5	St. Gallen	7	3	3	1	+7	+0.4	12
6	Basel	6	4	0	2	+6	+6.9	12
7	Zurich	7	3	3	1	+3	-2.3	12
8	Sion	7	2	4	1	+4	+8.5	10
9	Yverdon	6	3	1	2	-1	-1.7	10
10	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.3	8
11	Winterthur	6	2	1	3	-7	-3.8	7
12	Grasshoppers	6	1	3	2	-2	+3.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.3	13
2	Servette	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.3	11
3	Basel	7	3	1	3	+11	+2.2	10
4	Luzern	6	2	3	1	+1	-3.4	9
5	Lugano	6	2	3	1	+0	-1.9	9
6	St. Gallen	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.5	5
7	Lausanne	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.0	5
8	Yverdon	7	1	2	4	-6	-8.1	5
9	Young Boys	7	1	2	4	-6	+2.5	5
10	Sion	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.9	4
11	Grasshoppers	7	1	0	6	-8	-4.2	3
12	Winterthur	7	0	1	6	-15	-9.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.