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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
Darmstadt
U S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Hertha
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,7
3,5
Scored
3,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 73%
82%
64%
Average goals
4,1
3,3
Scored
2,1
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 12. · Hertha 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hannover 11 7 1 3 +8 22
2 Paderborn 11 5 5 1 +5 20
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Hamburg 12 5 4 3 +9 19
5 Karlsruhe 11 5 4 2 +3 19
6 Nurnberg 12 5 3 4 +4 18
7 Magdeburg 11 4 5 2 +3 17
8 Kaiserslautern 12 4 5 3 +2 17
9 Hertha 11 5 2 4 +2 17
10 Elversberg 11 4 4 3 +6 16
11 FC Koln 11 4 3 4 +3 15
12 Darmstadt 11 3 4 4 +1 13
13 Greuther Furth 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Braunschweig 12 3 3 6 -10 12
15 Preußen Münster 11 2 4 5 -4 10
16 Ulm 11 2 3 6 -3 9
17 Schalke 04 11 2 3 6 -5 9
18 Regensburg 11 2 1 8 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Hertha
Fynn Lakenmacher 🟨
20′
21′
F. Niederlechner 0–1
D. Scherhant
23′
🟨 Jonjoe Kenny
Sergio López 🟨
28′
Kai Klefisch 🟨
37′
44′
🟨 Ibrahim Maza
Half-time 1–1
1–1 P. Förster
47′
Fabian Nürnberger 🟨
50′
Aleksandar Vukotić 🟨
52′
53′
ℹ️ Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
VAR: Goal cancelled
O. Vilhelmsson 🔁
↦ F. Lakenmacher
59′
Guille Bueno 🔁
↦ F. Nürnberger
59′
2–1 I. Lidberg
Guille Bueno
65′
69′
🔁 M. Winkler
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
69′
🔁 L. Schuler
↦ F. Niederlechner
M. Papela 🔁
↦ P. Förster
75′
3–1 A. Müller
C. Riedel
81′
82′
🔁 S. Prevljak
↦ P. Dárdai
87′
🟨 Michaël Cuisance
M. Maglica 🔁
↦ K. Klefisch
88′
L. Marseiler 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-4-2
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
15 F. Nürnberger D
18 P. Förster M
17 K. Klefisch M
16 A. Müller M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
19 F. Lakenmacher F
Bench (9)
29 O. Vilhelmsson
3 Guille Bueno
21 M. Papela
5 M. Maglica
8 L. Marseiler
13 M. Thiede
11 T. Kempe
23 K. Gjasula
30 A. Brunst

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Hertha

3-4-3
1 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
41 P. Klemens D
42 D. Zeefuik D
20 P. Dárdai M
27 M. Cuisance M
8 K. Sessa M
24 J. Þorsteinsson M
7 F. Niederlechner F
39 D. Scherhant F
10 I. Maza F
Bench (8)
22 M. Winkler
18 L. Schuler
9 S. Prevljak
5 A. Bouchalakis
21 B. Lum
26 G. Christensen
43 T. Goller
45 S. Weiland

Coach: C. Fiél

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,78
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.