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Super League

Referee: S Stegemann

AEK

S U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Panathinaikos

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

This season — Super League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 16

6 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · Panathinaikos 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	7	4	1	2	+6	13
2	PAOK	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	AEK	5	3	2	0	+8	11
4	Aris Thessalonikis	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Aris	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	OFI Crete	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Atromitos	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Panathinaikos	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Panetolikos	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Asteras Tripolis	7	1	4	2	-1	7
11	Athens Kallithea	6	0	5	1	-1	5
12	Lamia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Levadeiakos	6	0	4	2	-4	4
14	Volos NFC	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Panserraikos	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	OFI Crete	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	PAOK	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Panathinaikos	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Atromitos	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Panetolikos	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Aris	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Athens Kallithea	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Levadeiakos	3	0	2	1	-3	2
12	Asteras Tripolis	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Panserraikos	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Lamia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Volos NFC	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aris Thessalonikis	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Aris	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Olympiakos	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	AEK	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Lamia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	OFI Crete	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Atromitos	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Panetolikos	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Athens Kallithea	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Volos NFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Panathinaikos	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Levadeiakos	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Panserraikos	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.