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Super League
Referee: G Tzovaras
AEK
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Asteras Tripolis
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,0
This season — Super League · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
75%
16%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
50%
32%
Both score Ø 27%
25%
28%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

78% Possession 22%
37 Shots 0
9 Shots on target 0
10 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match AEK 2. · Asteras Tripolis 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 25 19 3 3 +24 60
2 AEK 24 18 2 4 +38 56
3 Olympiakos 25 15 7 3 +31 52
4 PAOK 25 14 9 2 +22 51
5 Volos NFC 26 11 6 9 -8 39
6 Aris Thessalonikis 23 10 4 9 +12 34
7 Aris 23 10 4 9 +12 34
8 Panetolikos 25 8 6 11 -9 30
9 Atromitos 23 7 8 8 +0 29
10 OFI Crete 25 5 9 11 -11 24
11 Asteras Tripolis 25 4 12 9 -13 24
12 Giannina 24 4 10 10 -18 22
13 Ionikos 25 4 6 15 -19 18
14 Levadeiakos 25 2 8 15 -23 14
15 Lamia 25 1 10 14 -38 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -22 Asteras Tripolis – AEK 1–1 6. Mar -22 AEK – Asteras Tripolis 2–1 11. Dec -21 Asteras Tripolis – AEK 0–0 12. May -21 Asteras Tripolis – AEK 1–1 18. Apr -21 AEK – Asteras Tripolis 3–1

Match report

AEK Asteras Tripolis
4′
🟥 Michael Gardawski
Georgios Tzavellas 🟨
11′
11′
🟨 Jerónimo Barrales
1–0 S. Araújo ⚽
D. Vida
32′
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Kosteas
↦ J. Barrales
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ N. Amrabat
68′
2–0 M. Gaćinović ⚽
76′
K. Galanopoulos 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
78′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
78′
79′
🔁 J. Bartolo
↦ N. Zouglis
79′
🔁 M. Iglesias
↦ O. Adefunyibomi
79′
🔁 C. Tasoulis
↦ Léo Tilica
90′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ G. Kosteas
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-3-1-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
31 G. Tzavellas D
28 E. Hajisafi D
5 N. Amrabat M
13 O. Pineda M
8 M. Gaćinović M
6 J. Jønsson M
7 L. Garcia F
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
10 S. Zuber
19 N. Eliasson
25 K. Galanopoulos
20 P. Mantalos
24 G. Mitoglou
37 V. Radonja
14 A. Fransson
29 D. Sidibé
1 C. Stanković

Coach: M. Almeyda

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
12 David Carmona D
18 Pichu Atienza D
87 E. Zukanović D
29 F. Álvarez D
7 Léo Tilica M
69 O. Adefunyibomi M
25 M. Gardawski M
8 J. Munafo M
77 N. Zouglis M
9 J. Barrales F
Bench (9)
97 G. Kosteas
73 J. Bartolo
17 M. Iglesias
3 C. Tasoulis
23 Adrián Riera
99 A. Tsiftsis
64 G. Prountzos
20 F. Bertoglio
2 Rubén García

Coach: I. Metaxas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
🔒
U
6,77
🔒
B
19,56
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,75
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,04
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Tzovaras · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
33,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.