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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Zwolle

U T T T U

3–1

Full-time

For Sittard

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

18%

45%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 37%

55%

18%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,25 xG 2,97

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 16. · For Sittard 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	10	0	1	+28	+14.7	30
2	Utrecht	11	9	1	1	+9	-0.6	28
3	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+14	+12.4	25
4	Feyenoord	11	6	4	1	+12	+10.8	22
5	Twente	11	6	3	2	+13	+14.1	21
6	For Sittard	11	5	2	4	-1	+0.4	17
7	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	3	4	-4	+7.1	15
8	NAC Breda	11	5	0	6	-6	-3.4	15
9	AZ Alkmaar	10	4	2	4	+2	+3.7	14
10	Nijmegen	11	4	1	6	+6	+0.5	13
11	Willem II	11	3	3	5	+0	-9.0	12
12	Groningen	12	3	3	6	-7	-8.1	12
13	Heracles	12	3	3	6	-11	-11.4	12
14	Heerenveen	10	3	2	5	-3	+0.2	11
15	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	5	5	-6	-0.2	11
16	Zwolle	11	2	3	6	-10	-11.0	9
17	Almere City	11	1	3	7	-18	-7.0	6
18	Waalwijk	11	1	1	9	-18	-13.2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+16	+7.7	15
2	Ajax	5	5	0	0	+10	+8.4	15
3	Utrecht	6	5	0	1	+3	+2.4	15
4	NAC Breda	5	4	0	1	+5	+2.4	12
5	For Sittard	6	4	0	2	+3	+2.8	12
6	Twente	5	3	2	0	+8	+10.3	11
7	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+7	+5.7	11
8	Nijmegen	6	3	1	2	+8	+3.5	10
9	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+2	+5.2	10
10	Groningen	6	2	2	2	+2	-1.8	8
11	Heracles	6	2	2	2	+0	-1.9	8
12	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	2	2	-1	+7.0	8
13	Willem II	6	2	1	3	+1	-3.4	7
14	Zwolle	5	2	0	3	-2	-0.8	6
15	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.8	4
16	Sparta Rotterdam	6	0	4	2	-4	+3.0	4
17	Waalwijk	6	1	1	4	-5	-5.0	4
18	Almere City	6	1	1	4	-12	-1.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+12	+7.0	15
2	Utrecht	5	4	1	0	+6	-3.0	13
3	Feyenoord	6	3	3	0	+10	+5.6	12
4	Twente	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.8	10
5	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	+3	+1.9	10
7	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	1	3	-2	-3.2	7
8	Go Ahead Eagles	5	2	1	2	-3	+0.0	7
9	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-1	-5.6	5
10	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-4	-2.3	5
11	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-9	-6.3	4
12	Heracles	6	1	1	4	-11	-9.5	4
13	Nijmegen	5	1	0	4	-2	-3.1	3
14	Zwolle	6	0	3	3	-8	-10.2	3
15	NAC Breda	6	1	0	5	-11	-5.9	3
16	Almere City	5	0	2	3	-6	-5.1	2
17	Heerenveen	5	0	0	5	-10	-5.5	0
18	Waalwijk	5	0	0	5	-13	-8.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.