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Premier League
Referee: T Bramall
Wolves
T T T U U
2–0
Full-time
Southampton
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 5%
0%
10%
Points per game
0,3
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
90%
50%
Average goals
4,1
2,6
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
2,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,26 xG 0,66
29% Possession 71%
8 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 20. · Southampton 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 10 8 1 1 +13 +10.6 25
2 Man City 10 7 2 1 +10 +9.0 23
3 Nott'm Forest 10 5 4 1 +7 +4.3 19
4 Chelsea 10 5 3 2 +8 +4.7 18
5 Arsenal 10 5 3 2 +6 +5.1 18
6 Aston Villa 10 5 3 2 +2 +3.9 18
7 Tottenham 10 5 1 4 +11 +8.6 16
8 Brighton 10 4 4 2 +3 -1.9 16
9 Fulham 10 4 3 3 +1 +4.1 15
10 Bournemouth 10 4 3 3 +1 +3.0 15
11 Newcastle 10 4 3 3 +0 +0.6 15
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 -1 -0.5 13
13 Man United 10 3 3 4 -3 +0.3 12
14 West Ham 10 3 2 5 -6 -2.7 11
15 Leicester 10 2 4 4 -4 -9.2 10
16 Everton 10 2 3 5 -7 -4.0 9
17 Crystal Palace 10 1 4 5 -5 -2.1 7
18 Ipswich 10 0 5 5 -11 -14.5 5
19 Southampton 10 1 1 8 -12 -10.3 4
20 Wolves 10 0 3 7 -13 -9.0 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Southampton
1–0 Pablo Sarabia
Matheus Cunha
2′
14′
ℹ️ Ryan Manning
VAR: Goal cancelled
22′
🟨 Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Half-time 1–0
J. Bellegarde 🔁
↦ Pablo Sarabia
46′
46′
🔁 T. Dibling
↦ R. Manning
51′
🟨 Aaron Ramsdale
2–0 Matheus Cunha
M. Lemina
51′
60′
🔁 L. Ugochukwu
↦ A. Lallana
60′
🔁 Y. Sugawara
↦ J. Stephens
Gonçalo Guedes 🔁
↦ J. Strand Larsen
73′
73′
🔁 B. Brereton
↦ J. Aribo
73′
🔁 P. Onuachu
↦ C. Archer
78′
🟨 Kyle Walker-Peters
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 🟨
81′
89′
🟨 Lesley Ugochukwu
Rodrigo Gomes 🔁
↦ Matheus Cunha
90′
M. Doherty 🔁
↦ R. Aït-Nouri
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Wolves

4-2-3-1
1 José Sá G
22 Nélson Semedo D
4 S. Bueno D
15 C. Dawson D
24 Toti Gomes D
5 M. Lemina M
8 João Gomes M
21 Pablo Sarabia M
10 Matheus Cunha M
3 R. Aït-Nouri M
9 J. Strand Larsen F
Bench (9)
27 J. Bellegarde
29 Gonçalo Guedes
19 Rodrigo Gomes
2 M. Doherty
20 T. Doyle
7 André
26 Carlos Forbs
46 A. Pond
31 S. Johnstone

Coach: G. O'Neil

Southampton

5-4-1
30 A. Ramsdale G
2 K. Walker-Peters D
6 T. Harwood-Bellis D
35 J. Bednarek D
5 J. Stephens D
3 R. Manning D
9 A. Armstrong M
7 J. Aribo M
10 A. Lallana M
18 Mateus Fernandes M
19 C. Archer F
Bench (9)
33 T. Dibling
26 L. Ugochukwu
16 Y. Sugawara
17 B. Brereton
32 P. Onuachu
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
1 A. McCarthy
14 J. Bree
15 N. Wood-Gordon

Coach: R. Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,84
B
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bramall · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.