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Super League
Referee: S Zabalas
3–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
30%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
20%
70%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 9. · OFI Crete 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 10 6 3 1 +8 21
2 Aris 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 PAOK 11 6 2 3 +7 20
4 AEK 10 5 3 2 +9 18
5 Olympiakos 11 5 3 3 +6 18
6 Panathinaikos 11 4 5 2 +2 17
7 OFI Crete 10 5 2 3 +1 17
8 Panetolikos 10 4 3 3 +3 15
9 Asteras Tripolis 10 3 5 2 +2 14
10 Atromitos 11 3 3 5 -1 12
11 Panserraikos 11 3 1 7 -7 10
12 Volos NFC 10 3 1 6 -8 10
13 Lamia 11 1 4 6 -10 7
14 Levadeiakos 11 0 6 5 -10 6
15 Athens Kallithea 11 0 6 5 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis OFI Crete
12′
🟨 Vasilis Lampropoulos
38′
🟨 Ilias Chatzitheodoridis
43′
🟨 Eddie Salcedo
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Houhoumis
J. Bartolo
47′
54′
🔁 A. Jung
↦ E. Salcedo
55′
🔁 L. Abanda
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
2–0 F. Macheda
Xesc Regis
56′
E. Yablonskiy 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
63′
Federico Macheda 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 Adrián Riera
↦ T. Fountas
69′
🔁 G. Apostolakis
↦ L. Shengelia
Nikos Kaltsas 🟨
71′
T. Tzandaris 🔁
↦ N. Kaltsas
71′
N. Zouglis 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
71′
74′
🟨 Zisis Karachalios
3–0 O. Adefunyibomi
T. Tzandaris
75′
D. Bile 🔁
↦ J. Bartolo
83′
M. Ádám 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
83′
83′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ T. Nuss
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-4-2
16 P. Tsintotas G
17 N. Alho D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
15 S. Deli D
3 D. Houhoumis D
20 N. Kaltsas M
69 O. Adefunyibomi M
22 Miki Muñoz M
11 Xesc Regis M
7 J. Bartolo F
41 F. Macheda F
Bench (9)
5 E. Yablonskiy
8 T. Tzandaris
77 N. Zouglis
28 D. Bile
9 M. Ádám
2 Rubén García
29 F. Álvarez
10 J. Palacios
1 N. Papadopoulos

Coach: S. Pantelidis

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
1 D. Naumov G
17 Borja González D
30 J. Silva D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
6 Z. Karachalios M
88 M. Bakić M
27 L. Shengelia M
11 T. Fountas M
18 T. Nuss M
9 E. Salcedo F
Bench (9)
29 A. Jung
99 L. Abanda
7 Adrián Riera
45 G. Apostolakis
10 J. Neira
31 N. Christogeorgos
25 F. Bainovič
22 G. Christopoulos
4 N. Marinakis

Coach: M. Rastavac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,32
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Zabalas · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.