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Super League
Referee: C Vergetis
Atromitos
S T T T S
0–1
Full-time
AEK
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Super League · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 37%
30%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
50%
22%
Both score Ø 46%
70%
22%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
5 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atromitos 10. · AEK 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 10 6 3 1 +8 21
2 Aris 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 Olympiakos 11 5 3 3 +6 18
4 PAOK 10 5 2 3 +6 17
5 Panathinaikos 11 4 5 2 +2 17
6 OFI Crete 10 5 2 3 +1 17
7 AEK 9 4 3 2 +8 15
8 Panetolikos 10 4 3 3 +3 15
9 Asteras Tripolis 10 3 5 2 +2 14
10 Atromitos 10 3 3 4 +0 12
11 Panserraikos 11 3 1 7 -7 10
12 Volos NFC 10 3 1 6 -8 10
13 Lamia 10 1 4 5 -9 7
14 Levadeiakos 11 0 6 5 -10 6
15 Athens Kallithea 11 0 6 5 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atromitos AEK
Quini 🟨
5′
30′
🟨 Moses Odubajo
Half-time 0–1
46′
L. García 0–1
E. Hajisafi
T. van Weert 🔁
↦ P. Michorl
60′
64′
🟨 Harold Moukoudi
68′
🔁 R. Ljubičić
↦ P. Mantalos
72′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ N. Amrabat
72′
🔁 F. Pierrot
↦ L. García
73′
🔁 J. Jønsson
↦ R. Pereyra
D. Jubitana 🔁
↦ N. Athanasiou
74′
Eder González 🔁
↦ T. Tsingaras
74′
G. Vrakas 🔁
↦ Amr Warda
83′
Carlitos 🔁
↦ M. Baku
83′
90′
🟨 Jens Jønsson
92′
🔁 A. Callens
↦ D. Szymański
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Atromitos

3-5-2
1 L. Choutesiotis G
31 F. Brorsson D
70 Mansur D
17 Quini D
12 M. Mountes M
8 P. Michorl M
5 T. Tsingaras M
18 I. Ouédraogo M
3 N. Athanasiou M
32 M. Baku F
7 Amr Warda F
Bench (9)
9 T. van Weert
11 D. Jubitana
6 Eder González
29 G. Vrakas
10 Carlitos
4 D. Stavropoulos
66 T. Karamanis
55 A. Koşelev
14 D. Kaloskamis

Coach: P. García

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
29 M. Odubajo D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
4 D. Szymański M
37 R. Pereyra M
5 N. Amrabat M
20 P. Mantalos M
26 A. Martial M
7 L. García F
Bench (9)
23 R. Ljubičić
19 N. Eliasson
14 F. Pierrot
6 J. Jønsson
18 A. Callens
11 A. Koïta
8 M. Gaćinović
91 A. Brignoli
13 O. Pineda

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,21
U
3,98
B ✓
1,59
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Vergetis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.