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Serie B
Referee: M Perri
Modena
U U T U T
2–0
Full-time
Carrarese
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Carrarese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Modena 19. · Carrarese 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 12 7 4 1 +12 25
2 Pisa 12 7 4 1 +8 25
3 Spezia 12 6 6 0 +8 24
4 Cesena 12 5 3 4 +2 18
5 Cremonese 12 5 3 4 +2 18
6 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
7 Juve Stabia 12 4 5 3 +0 17
8 Brescia 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Sampdoria 12 4 3 5 +1 15
10 Cosenza 12 3 6 3 -1 15
11 Bari 12 2 8 2 +2 14
12 Catanzaro 12 2 8 2 +2 14
13 Reggiana 12 3 4 5 -2 13
14 Carrarese 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Salernitana 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Mantova 12 3 4 5 -4 13
17 Sudtirol 12 4 1 7 -5 13
18 Cittadella 12 3 4 5 -8 13
19 Modena 12 2 5 5 -3 11
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,36
B
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Perri · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.