Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cardiff
Blackburn
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sunderland
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +14 | +2.0 | 30 |
| 2 |
Sheffield United
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | +5.1 | 27 |
| 3 |
Leeds
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +13 | +14.2 | 26 |
| 4 |
Watford
|
15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | +1 | -4.0 | 25 |
| 5 |
Burnley
|
14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | +11 | +1.9 | 24 |
| 6 |
West Brom
|
14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | +6 | +5.6 | 22 |
| 7 |
Millwall
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +5 | +6.8 | 22 |
| 8 |
Middlesbrough
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | +13.3 | 21 |
| 9 |
Swansea
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | +2.0 | 19 |
| 10 |
Bristol City
|
13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +0 | +0.4 | 19 |
| 11 |
Blackburn
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +0 | -1.7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | +1.8 | 18 |
| 13 |
Derby
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +0 | -4.4 | 18 |
| 14 |
Stoke
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | -4.9 | 18 |
| 15 |
Sheffield Weds
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -7 | -2.9 | 18 |
| 16 |
Oxford
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | -5.6 | 17 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -1 | +5.0 | 15 |
| 18 |
Hull
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -3 | -1.9 | 15 |
| 19 |
Luton
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | +1.9 | 15 |
| 20 |
Preston
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -6 | -1.7 | 15 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | -4.6 | 15 |
| 22 |
Plymouth
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -11 | -13.9 | 15 |
| 23 |
QPR
|
14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -11 | -4.8 | 10 |
| 24 |
Portsmouth
|
14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -14 | -9.6 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Ng
D
D. Goutas
D
J. Daland
D
A. Robertson
M
D. Turnbull
M
O. Tanner
M
R. Colwill
M
C. Willock
F
Coach: O. Riza
A. Pears
G
C. Brittain
D
D. Hyam
D
D. Batth
D
H. Pickering
D
L. Travis
M
T. Cantwell
M
R. Hedges
M
Y. Ohashi
F
Coach: J. Eustace
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Luton
Cardiff
Cardiff
Norwich
West Brom
Cardiff
Cardiff
Portsmouth
Cardiff
Plymouth
G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.