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Super League

Referee: A Sidiropoulos

AEK

S T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,5

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

52%

37%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

63%

22%

Both score Ø 41%

52%

30%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

5 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · Asteras Tripolis 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	27	21	5	1	+34	68
2	PAOK	27	15	6	6	+23	51
3	AEK	27	14	4	9	+13	46
4	Giannina	27	13	6	8	+11	45
5	Aris	26	13	6	7	+7	45
6	Panathinaikos	27	13	3	11	+19	42
7	Aris Thessalonikis	25	12	6	7	+6	42
8	OFI Crete	27	8	12	7	-1	36
9	Asteras Tripolis	27	10	5	12	-4	35
10	Volos NFC	27	9	5	13	-6	32
11	Panetolikos	28	9	5	14	-18	32
12	Ionikos	28	7	8	13	-8	29
13	Atromitos	27	6	5	16	-23	23
14	Lamia	27	4	7	16	-17	19
15	Apollon	27	2	9	16	-36	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	12	2	0	+20	38
2	Panathinaikos	14	10	2	2	+23	32
3	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+11	27
4	Giannina	14	8	3	3	+7	27
5	AEK	13	8	1	4	+11	25
6	Aris	13	7	4	2	+5	25
7	Aris Thessalonikis	12	6	4	2	+4	22
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	7	1	6	+2	22
9	Ionikos	14	5	4	5	+1	19
10	OFI Crete	13	4	6	3	-1	18
11	Atromitos	13	5	2	6	-2	17
12	Volos NFC	13	5	1	7	-4	16
13	Panetolikos	14	4	3	7	-6	15
14	Apollon	14	1	7	6	-12	10
15	Lamia	13	2	3	8	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	9	3	1	+14	30
2	PAOK	13	7	3	3	+12	24
3	AEK	14	6	3	5	+2	21
4	Aris Thessalonikis	13	6	2	5	+2	20
5	Aris	13	6	2	5	+2	20
6	Giannina	13	5	3	5	+4	18
7	OFI Crete	14	4	6	4	+0	18
8	Panetolikos	14	5	2	7	-12	17
9	Volos NFC	14	4	4	6	-2	16
10	Asteras Tripolis	13	3	4	6	-6	13
11	Panathinaikos	13	3	1	9	-4	10
12	Lamia	14	2	4	8	-8	10
13	Ionikos	14	2	4	8	-9	10
14	Atromitos	14	1	3	10	-21	6
15	Apollon	13	1	2	10	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.