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Premier League

Referee: A Marriner

Everton

T S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

19 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Everton 18. · Nott'm Forest 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Everton	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Man United	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Man United	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.